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Ross Andrew Hemphill

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Everything posted by Ross Andrew Hemphill

  1. Looks like an Azores ridge reload pattern, not bad if you’re wanting some early spring weather especially in the South ☀️
  2. The heat is on its way winter is over!! 🔥😂
  3. Went from a snow event in Scotland to a snow event in Wales and the Midlands in about two runs, crazy...
  4. Potential for some snow in Scotland this weekend on the GFS 12z, down to about 300m so definitely one to watch in the next few days! ❄️
  5. Low pressure is more elongated at +60 on the GFS, anyone know how big an effect this has?
  6. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Stronger heights into Greenland on GFS at +147
  7. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Given how crazy 2018 has been since the SSW, it wouldn’t surprise me if it’s still having some sort of effect but not a direct one of course. Good signs in FL, as long as the models hold onto the blocking signal nearer the time then there’s lots to be positive about.
  8. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    There’s definitely something of note for cold lovers considering that block is forcing the jet south, nice building blocks but no cold imminent which is okay! I’d rather have a few weeks transition if it means a long lasting, severe cold spell 😍🌨️
  9. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    GFS 6z tends to keep the jet away to the south of the uk, but more importantly doesn’t look as strong as it did on the whole in the 0z when exiting the US/Newfoundland. Subsequently this leaves a lot more high pressure around (or at least weaker troughs) with a much greater chance of colder weather, especially in the North. Only one run of course!!
  10. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Hurricane Oscar

    Could be a strong category 2 before it weakens and turns, but does he have a chance of becoming a major?
  11. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    What’s all this LIA malarkey? Is the BFTE coming for a more permanent stay? 🤣😝
  12. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model output discussion - The Hunt For Cold

    Classic example of get the pattern set in, and the cold will follow. It may seem too early but it’s happened before so it can happen again!
  13. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Storm Callum - Atlantic Storm 3

    It was supposed to brighten up here late morning and into the afternoon according to the BBC, but instead there was a deluge for a few hours (BBC were also still showing the rain to be further east than it was). Definitely doing what it wants, much more rain tomorrow probably than anticipated for my area anyway.
  14. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Storm Callum - Atlantic Storm 3

    I believe Callum could be the deepest October Atlantic storm on record? Seen it on Twitter
  15. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Hurricane Michael

  16. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Hurricane Michael

    What’s 6mb in old money (feet or metres)?
  17. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Hurricane Michael

    So will he make it to cat 5??
  18. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Hurricane Michael

    Almost there!!
  19. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Storm Callum - Atlantic Storm 3

    Looking like a non event for us in terms of wind, but serious in terms of rainfall after all that we’ve had lately.
  20. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    GFS 12z has a monster storm hitting Ireland and NW parts of the UK! Gusts of 95mph+ if that comes off, definitely one to watch since it’s only 5 days away (which is years in the current situation of the models but still).
  21. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    Nice to see heights up towards Svalbard, heading into Greenland (yellows and oranges 😍). Low pressure heading into mainland Europe is good too (trying to undercut) If only it would appear in the reliable!!
  22. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    Nothing wrong with seeing the autumn season rolling in, much better than mild and humid muck if you ask me. It’s been way too warm for too long now, can go and never come back for all I care... But anyway, high pressure really can’t stay away for long can it! Always seems to nudge its way back into the reliable.
  23. Ross Andrew Hemphill

    Model Output Discussion - Autumn 2018

    That’s a big high pressure for next week! 1040mb
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