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Everything posted by Ross Andrew Hemphill
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Is there a way I can check for my location? I’ve missed this convective thread I stay away mostly because of jealousy because I never seem to get a storm as usual the *potential* is there on the models, but as has already been stated today, the risk will almost certainly be shifted east to avoid most of Scotland. It’s good to be back, however! Happy heatwave
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Spring 2020 | Moans, Ramps & Chat
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I was -24! in all seriousness, snow in June is absolutely crazy! Only in the UK climate as they say... Restrictions being loosened in Scotland as of tomorrow means I can get back to playing tennis! The models surely are spoiling us with all this dry weather, and the cool down it’s showing for next week will be welcome after this week’s heat up here! stay safe -
Model output discussion 02/02/20
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model output discussion 02/02/20
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Summer Sun's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Summer Sun's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Flood warning coastal parts of Inverclyde! I believe this is the first flood WARNING in my area since Hurricane Bawbag -
Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Summer Sun's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
New amber warning but still waiting for the amber wind to be extended into Scotland, been hinted at already on tv a few times -
Storm Ciara - Atlantic storm 3
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Summer Sun's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
This has confused me too. Sean Batty mentioned the possibility of a sting jet formation so maybe they’re waiting till nearer the time to issue an amber? -
Model output discussion 02/02/20
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This is very true! Storm Ciara’s path is looking awfully similar to one a few years ago which hit Scotland direct west to east, with the winds funnelling through the lowlands peaking 90mph+ widely, with a top gust of 105mph-ish not far from me. Definitely exciting but also worrying... -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Incredible warmth continuing on the GFS -
Model output discussion - into Christmas
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Come on guys, how many times have we been told to keep it civil in here!! We’re all a little frustrated about the huge teasing from the models over the past two winters, but we need to remember that we cannot attack others for their opinion or posting cold charts from FI, I mean it’s model discussion after all!! I don’t post much here for the simple fact that I’m unsure of how to use the terminology properly some of the time, but also because I’m afraid of being shouted at! I hope the failed cold snaps and spells over the past two winters show us all that we cannot take anything as gospel until close range, and until we have cross model agreement (especially the UKMO!!). Mid teens are possible in the next few days which is pretty exceptional, wondering if we could have another winter temperature record falling like last February, now that was something else! Merry Christmas and all the best for 2020, here’s to a 1947 repeat and/or a blazing summer! edit: forgot to say that it’s only December, still two (maybe three) months of winter remaining! -
Interesting...
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It’s always a crucial time in model watching I guess, wondering whether the cold comes into the reliable or it’s washed away by the coupling of the strong strat vortex and it’s trop partner. You always have the chance of a SSW but it’s never guaranteed with that either, just have to hope for the best. Does have 2009/2010 vibes but was the strat vortex as strong then?
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Model Output Discussion - early October
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Reminds me of Winter 2017/18 pre BFTE when the jet was a tad south and the models were throwing snow events at us like nobody’s business. I know it’s October but looks similar, and I can’t remember what October 2017 was like lol can anyone enlighten me? -
Hurricane Lorenzo
Ross Andrew Hemphill replied to Lauren's topic in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
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