I have a feeling this winter is going to get very interesting, newbie, so not a "pro" however my taking on the models recently suggests to me that we have had a sequence of - Boring nothing weather for a few weeks, then (as we are in now) a wild period, soon to be followed by a potentially blocked two thirds of the winter. Good model watching, to be honest I am not an expert, no idea what will happen, just think these events are highly interesting.