terrier
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Everything posted by terrier
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Much better GFS06Z but I remain sceptical. Until we have the ECM on board I’d be very wary of what the GFS is showing at the moment.
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However we dress today up it’s not been great ECM has been showing not great for the last 3 runs now. Seems as though the pub run has been on the lemonade tonight. Definitely not trends we won’t to see into tomorrow. Still very sceptical about any deep freeze and heavy snowfall. Let’s see what tomorrow brings.
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Even if the ecm is correct it’s not a huge problem it would still be chilly and much colder further north. But I believe it’s wrong.
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Unfortunately to me it looks raw damp and drizzly more than white.
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So looks like the gfs pub run has certainly been on the lash tonight. Let’s see what tomorrow output shows. Fingers crossed for some sort of model consistency tomorrow. But what’s the betting toys & prams will be flying everywhere in the morning. Maybe we need an amber warning for flying toys and prams. In fact scrap that let’s upgrade to a level red warning
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Think Paul Hudson & Liam Dutton have this summed up perfectly. They is nothing showing heavy snowfall or brutal cold in the output. Maybe a few have got carried away with the dark purples. Pretty standard fair next week sunny spells and some frost which I can live with after all the floods round here. But certainly nothing to worry about regarding deep cold & heavy snowfall that’s for sure.
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Do you no the best thing about that day 10 charts from the GFS12z. It means the mother in law won’t get here for Xmas day. Please just for once verify. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And I’ve more chance of wining tomorrows euro millions -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well seems I’ve stumbled upon the 850pha temp thread tonight. I was looking for the model output thread anyone point me in the right direction please -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
All the cold heading down into Greece how many times do we see this in the winter in recent years. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well that’s given it the kiss of death lol -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But we have to remember a ssw doesn’t always guarantee cold for our shores. But here is hoping it works in our favour. Fingers crossed -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So latest met update are going for this back end of next week. Temps of 10c. Yet we have that ECM tonight. Confused to say the least. Who will be right. Definitely an interesting time model watching that’s for sure. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think it’s fairly clear to see now we are going to see a return to westerly winds and milder temps which is backed this morning by the ukmo how long this last remains to be seen. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You spelt weeks wrong lol -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A boozy lunch I think the GFS12z has been out on the all day session. Looks like the next chase is not quite on just yet. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And I’d place my mortgage on it been a huge outliner unfortunately. Would love to see it not been but it just has gone off on one surely -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
terrier replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
What the hell has the GFS12z tried to pull out the bag there lol. If that isn’t a huge outliner then I don’t know what is.