terrier
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Everything posted by terrier
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Wow when I logged on earlier this morning a new thread was just starting. Now 15 pages in already something must be brewing in the models. Don’t remember it been this busy in 2010 and that was epic. Anyway great looking charts at the moment. Looking forward to tonight once I get home to check what the GFS icon ecm gem all have to say later on. Exciting times ahead I feel ️
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Did mention this earlier today but be very wary of those ECM snowfall charts. Those totals are based on basically every flake of snow falling and settling. Basically about as much use as a chocolate tea pot.
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Surely we can’t just bin the GFS and go with the UKMO. As was previously stated earlier they are both performing badly at day 5. Think this still has some way to go yet. But to bin the GFS off would surely be foolish. For those that have been here for any length of time will surely agree on that one.
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Just a quick word of caution over those ECM snowfall prediction charts. They have always shown what falls from the sky to actually settle. They have always overdone it regarding totals. Not saying it can’t happen but just trying to temper expectations regarding totals.
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How many times have we been told not to over analyse each op run. Yes gfs isn’t as good rhis morning nor is the gem but the ukmo is steadfast. Nothing to worry about in my opinion. Still looking Baltic next week with plenty of snow opportunities. Definitely different to the last few Januarys in years gone by.
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Right strap yourself in folks almost time for the icon & gfs pub run special. Can see polar bears running down the M4 tonight on the pub run
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Wow just catching up after a 12hr shift at work. What a great ECM this evening delivers for all. Can see many getting in on the snow shower activity next week lots of disturbances in that set up shown by the ecm. Bring it on ️
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Think the net weather servers may need an upgrade for tonight if the Ecm6z is anything to go by. The touch paper has been well and truly lit I think. ️
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Gfs06z what a run think it calls for a Boom ️. Winter is coming folks
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Nothing wrong with this morning’s output Ukmo & gem spectacular gfs also good as is the ecm. Seems some imby’s going on today. Yes not so good further south but last time I looked this was the model output thread. Not the southern regionals lol.
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Ukmo & gem are absolutely amazing this morning gfs ain’t too shabby either. Let’s see what the ecm has to say. Could be a good day coming up. Fingers crossed ️
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Not a great GFS12z looks like a move towards the ECM. This seems to have been the longest chase ever since December. Seems now we are relying on the GEM. You couldn’t make it up
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Well fingers crossed for the following week on the models. Just seen weather for week ahead and it’s very uninspiring cloudy damp with a few frosts. Let’s hope the date of the 15th of jan hits. Just hope that the ECM later shows something more wintry towards day 9 & 10.