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Everything posted by Skullzrulerz

  1. So trying to bring myself up to speed with what's been going the past month and now it looks were at the "last chance" for this "winter" regarding snowfall Let's see what's happenings in the coming days
  2. If I may ask a question ? Do you think we could expect snowfall (dusting) in West Cornwall / St Austell?
  3. Not much to say today as much of the wind had calmed down Quite disappointed to be honest
  4. Somewhat Windy with a quite the breezy gusts at times Nothing to write home about just yet
  5. What he means is there was a bunch a people the last few days who were on the lines "winter is over" or it be a mild January etc That aside still a lot of uncertainty but ECM has joined the wet and possibly mild camp with the GFS
  6. Think I'm going to have to get one for my spelling Of course I do think some are jumping the gun with this especially with the timeframe being so far out and a lot of things can go wrong or change really quickly personally I would wait at least a week before making any conclusions
  7. I would honestly remain spectacle of this "colder spell" not too much support and with no agreement with most models I'm not buying it not to mention how far away it is
  8. Don't see any of the excitement at the moment because it's simply too far out (new year) personnely I think some are getting a bit much over one run Prepare for the immediate disappointed
  9. I really don't see why many people are so disappointed with the recent output as of late even with the higher "uncertainty" the likely as to happen is a return to sightly milder temps just before Christmas day with a "topper" cold air from the north for a few days before returning to milder and wet It may still turn colder but looking very unlikely as the ECM was a huge outlier and will most likely fall into place with the other models as many others has said a lot of things are at us even with the "background signals" the seasonal forecasts are "mostly accurate" for a reason...
  10. Can I ask what date this is showing on the GFS 06z? Seems there may be some surprises on the way to Xmas before becoming milder just before the big day
  11. Great to see that it's now following the UKMO hopefully the ECM will start to follow suit tonight but as always never say never... No short term cold just but it's definitely there in the east and north
  12. On the more positive side this seems to be a good start ? A change to our current pattern of cold zonal?
  13. And yet what if the GFS is right I have a feeling it will be especially with the recent signs of the polar vortex strengthening
  14. Shame to be honest looked like it did have a bit of promise early on however with the uncertainty at current so could change either way.
  15. So called snow event at current for the Midlands ? Won't last long as milder air comes in shortly after
  16. What on earth happened here? Really throwing out the toys because of the models verification? I honestly thought that judging on here that Kevin the carrot got sold out I don't get all of the negative vibes tonight perhaps a sight improvement in the middle term especially up north I think we need to be mature it's only the weather for crying out loud
  17. Sadly I can't see anything like a "cold polar flow" At best just sightly cool and that's putting it lightly
  18. Yep we better off going to America or starting a model discussion there In more serious terms it never looked like there was going to be a prolonged cold spell let alone in December unfortunately some people did get a bit too excited/hype and have disappeared For the meantime it's looks like it's going to he below average temperatures with chances of heavy snowfall for Northern england/Scotland
  19. You might be right if it was for the Cairngorms they would get a absolute pasting to say the last Rest of England ? Sounds like cold rain and average temperatures A huge difference to the latest 12z and yesterday 12z I don't think I need to say no more ..
  20. In general GFS is only slightly better then last night but it's miles away from what showing the last few days... It's either pushed back further or has been wiped out It's hard to believe overnight we're gone from a harsh cold spell to a topper but it was somewhat expected with seasonal forecasts mostly stating a cold spell around mid month Unless things start changing soon I can't see anything noteworthy yet
  21. So it seems that the rogue model was right unfortunately as both ECM/GFS has moved towards it You would of thought overnight judging by some of the reaction we was getting mild southwest weather with a Barret for measure So thankfully there's still a bit of time for things to change mild or cold point of view Also to note that most of the seasonal weather only noted that it was going to be a cold outbreak and some snow for the north and nothing more
  22. What a disappointing GFS run however to be fair it was kind of expected in the end as It clearly over done the heights with previous runs I'm fully aware that the UKMO is the rogue model to some due to what it's showing but it definitely can't be discounted and it could be right all along Give a few more days before making any conclusions
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