Snowy L

Saturday at 10:29

Think this has to go down as perhaps the worst 18 months of weather of all time? No summer, no winter x2, no Spring x2, only good weather I can remember is a week of summer in September.

April 16

Funny how northerlies being absolutely torrential showers after winter passes. Streamers pepping up out of nowhere as they move South and collect moisture from that famous sea in the middle of Northern England... If this was 2 months ago we wouldn't see a drop, or flake.

March 2

Coastal southwest buried, nothing but rain here. Worst 18 month period of weather I've ever seen.

February 8

Sleet with occasional burst of snow. Tbh the direction the models were going yesterday I'm surprised we've even got this.

February 7

Last second changes for snow have always been a lottery, but something about the last couple of winters, it's always been downgrades. Genuinely awful last ~18 months of weather, probably the worst I've ever lived through.

February 7

Not to worry SSW just in time to ruin Spring as well, so that's a 9 month Autumn baked in.

February 6

Looks like Met Office will have to redo their warnings, definite shift to a lot of the midlands getting a period of settling snow. Now if only some extra energy can appear to move the low along.

February 6

Every single cold spell the last couple of years, the Atlantic has fired up or switched off at the worst possible time. This one if we just had a bit more energy to move it along before it draws southerlies in, it could have been a historic snowfall. Instead we are hoping for a cm or 2 in a 6 hour window.

February 6

We need it further east more than anything, stalling just sweeps the milder air in regardless of south/north corrections.

February 4

MattStoke But Matt we need to lock the cold in so we can have sun and 3c for a week before the Atlantic takes over!

January 27

Have to say I'm loving the current weather, not freezing in my own house and can be outdoors in comfort. My tolerance for cold without snow really is approaching zero recently.

January 22

Yeah bit of noise around 5-9pm but that was it. As for the cold spell, I didn't see a single flake of snow. Roll on warmer weather, hope we see a fat Bartlett for February.

January 15

Just now, sheikhy said:

Ooohh this is gettin interesting now!!!some of those streamers from tonight onward seem to get well into the east mids aswell

Itv weather having none of it.

January 11

ECM -3 NAO to + 3 NAO in a couple of days. Have to give it credit that is impressive dedication to mild.

January 9

1 hour ago, SunnyG said:

That's exactly how I feel. Deep cold is not only dangerous because of ice on roads and pavements, but it's bad for the health too. People may like it, but it ain't good for them...

Yeah and clinically vulnerable start dying at 24C too. The optimal temperature for humans is narrow and very boring, no I don't want 18C all year long.

January 7

So glad I invested zero energy in this "cold" spell, I would be in despair if I did. This one has been especially cruel. Not fooling me though, models

January 3

1 hour ago, Rob 79812010 said:

Blimey, best charts for years, bbc and met and netweather forecasts all positive, so much potential. Shouldn't we be more excited?? Or are we hedging our bets as we've 'seen it all before'. Thing is, we have seen it all before with the models but often find the forecasters don't buy into it. They are now!!!

2023 has been a year of cold spells in winter or hot spells in summer disappearing at 5-7 days out. The models have simply cried wolf too many times. And I notice yet again this morning, after about 3 weeks of tracking this cold spell, that we are still saying how amazing the charts are 300 hours out. I won't believe anything until there is snow on the ground.

December 30, 2023

1 hour ago, Metwatch said:

Can only imagine how depressing it would be if some of the years last century happened in modern times, with some years most areas failing to reach much above 25-27C all year. Some ones I can find on the Trevor Harley site that stood out are 1920, 1927, 1931,1946, 1962, 1965 and 1974. Apart from 1946, 30C wasn't reached in the UK in any of those years.

Perhaps Mr data would have more knowledge of other years with poor winters, summers and maybe even springs too.

Would think many of poor summers had good winters to compensate. There is just no saving grace about this year. One battleground snowfall gone in a day, disgusting Spring and summer, a good couple of weeks in Autumn at least, but other than that forgettable.

December 30, 2023

Another cold spell collapsed, very appropriate for 2023. Quite possibly the worst year of weather I've ever experienced.

December 23, 2023

Very nice charts this afternoon, wonder when the Iberian high will show up and ruin everything as usual.

December 17, 2023

Just now, That ECM said:

Not the worst pv we’ve seen.

None of this matters as long as Iberian heights always show up at the exact worst possible time every single time.

December 15, 2023

Lesson learned, don't trust models with names like BOM. Massively overestimated MJO signal.

December 4, 2023

1 minute ago, Hoghtonwhite said:

Christ the lord that is some chart on the pub run. This is exactly what took place in December 2010. A cold front moved south preceded by a band of rain. What followed was freezing temps and instability everywhere with hefty outbreaks of snow moving here there and everywhereright down to sea level at coasts. The Irish Sea on the evening of Friday 17th December decided to plaster the north west with a foot of snow which lasted on the ground until well beyond Christmas with nightly minimums -12 Celsius through till Boxing Day.

I just have a feeling it could happen again. 2010 isn’t that long ago in the grand scheme of things, considering all the noise around recent global warming.

Anything can happen at any time.

This is good but 2010 was a whole other beast. That PV chunk over Scandi on your charts was actually over the UK in 2010, dropped directly down from the North Pole. It's what allowed a rare westerly lake effect event for Northwest England.