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Everything posted by Gaz1985
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Indeed, late February 2005 had some heavy snowfalls, I remember here having consecutive days of falling and settling snow from an easterly. Another snowy episode was early March 2006.
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Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well there was a frost this morning -
Model Output Discussion - 10th Jan Onwards
Gaz1985 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Might be that HAARP weather control. -
Model Output Discussion - 10th Jan Onwards
Gaz1985 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
GFS 12z ends with high pressure nudging in from the south west 850's, cold out east -
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
Gaz1985 replied to Derbyshire_snow's topic in Weather Around The World
Currently -41c in New York Central Park with "heavy blowing snow" but 3 miles away +27c in The Bronx and "clear sky"....... t shirt bbq weather, wow North America sure has it's extremes. -
Model Output Discussion - 10th Jan Onwards
Gaz1985 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks similar to the JMA, overall the JMA is devoid of any substantial cold for the UK in it's 12z run. -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking forward to Spring now, let's face it - it will soon come around...get into mid January and it seems to be Easter in no time. If it has to be mild I would like some drying out - cannot remember the last fully dry 48 hours. Been miserable now for what seems an eternity. -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Chilly uppers but no where near as cold as what was showing yesterday - so still a downgrade with the deep cold. But like I said yesterday I will sit on fence until Sunday. I think our fate will be known by then, lots of twists and turns in this saga to come I think. -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Anyway Manchester 12z ens look milder than the 6z -
One of the mildest Winters for some years?
Gaz1985 replied to The PIT's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes it certainly hasn't been a very mild Winter, temps have been consistent as above poster says with not much variations. Just average temperatures for the UK in Winter time (mainly mid to high single figure max's). Things can get even milder if we get a Bartlett but that's looking unlikely to happen. And no doubt about it, it has been a wet Winter so far too. Notably some global forecasting models were predicting a wet Winter for the UK with hardly any snow - think one of them was the Chinese model. -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like I was right last night to be cautious about the "beasterly" whilst others were typically OTT........ still having said that things may suddenly flip back but for coldies alarm bells might be ringing after Ian F said this will be only a bog standard cold spell nothing unusual for Jan. And then a suggestion of a more mobile outlook probably into Feb, who knows we may go all Winter without a flake settling here, not even a sugar dusting. I don't recall a time when that's happened before. -
Monitor live aircraft flights http://www.flightradar24.com
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Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
After "that ECM" in Dec 2012 I think I'm going to take the model output of projected cold with a large pinch of salt until at least Sunday, as we all know things can come crashing down with a big bump. -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cold ens emerging from Eastern Europe and Scandinavia, with some very cold runs in the mix. -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cold slightly further east again, I think it's still a case of "more runs needed" from ECM. -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cold getting nudged back east a bit, slightly milder uppers over UK -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like blizzards for Scotland esp highlands, only rain south of Newcastle. 850's too high across most of England and Wales. -
Hopefully tomorrow will stay dry for a few hours , another day with rain here.
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Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's showing a Bartlett Pressure developing Nah it's only up to 96 hrs atm. -
Technological life elsewhere in the Galaxy/Universe
Gaz1985 replied to Luke McDonnell's topic in Space, Science & nature
Interesting - plausible story? who knows http://metro.co.uk/2014/01/05/very-close-encounter-pilot-tells-of-near-miss-with-ufo-near-heathrow-airport-4250169/ -
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
Gaz1985 replied to Derbyshire_snow's topic in Weather Around The World
Today was officially one of the coldest days on record in Chicago (at noon time) And here is a quote from the US national weather service, note temps are in Fahrenheit *f* and not Celsius *c*, convert them into Celsius and you have our standard. .. Monday's record low Max was not set but noon temperatures were amongst the coldest on record... A technicality prevented Monday from possibly tying or breaking the coldest daily high temperature ever in Chicago. The midnight temperature... while bitterly cold and also setting a daily record for Chicago... will be the daily high Monday and was not at or below the all-time daily cold high temperature record of -11. Nonetheless... Monday will go down as one of the coldest days on record. Here is a ranking of the coldest noon temperatures on record dating back to the 1929-30 Winters in Chicago and Rockford. Chicago ------- temp date 1) -21 Jan 10 1982 2) -17 Jan 20 1985 3) -16 Dec 24 1985 4) -15 Feb 9 1933 -15 Jan 22 1936 -15 Jan 16 1982 7) -14 Jan 18 1994 *-14 Jan 6 2014* 9) -13 Jan 16 1977 10) -10 Jan 18 1940 -10 Jan 28 1977 -10 Jan 9 1982 -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cold creeping in from the east on JMA -
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
Gaz1985 replied to Derbyshire_snow's topic in Weather Around The World
Chicago windchill -41c! http://classic.wunderground.com/US/IL/Chicago/KORD.html -
Model Output Discussion 1st January 2014-06z onwards.
Gaz1985 replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Compare 850's shall we? ECM @ 144hrs (138 hrs now) GFS @138 hrs - both quite similar just a couple of subtle differences -
Winter 2013-2014 Discussion- Part 2
Gaz1985 replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Indeed and February 1986 was another late Winter bitter month - easterly winds throughout that month. As you may know February 1986's CET was colder than December 2010.