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crikey

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    62
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Profile Information

  • Gender
    Female
  • Location
    Dunolly in country Victoria .. Australia
  • Interests
    Science ,computing ,gardening, religion ,weather analysis.

    CRIKEY's BLOG
    http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/
  • Weather Preferences
    snow for sking or a mild spring

Contact Methods

  1. Current snow depth for spencer crek Snowy hydro shows the extent of the last cold/snow episode http://www.snowyhydro.com.au/water/snow-depths-calculator/ There is another really decent cold pool arriving around the 2nd August with a decent area of 532 thickness over the south east alps and Victoria
  2. A warming spot at 10hPa in the SH near Australia curently. Models suggesting a massive cold outbreak in about 8-9 days time If ACCESS forecast eventuates this event will produce the best cold pool since the pre 70's http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthreads.php/topics/1270972/Re_Stratospheric_sudden_warmin#Post1270972 http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthreads.php/topics/1270966/2
  3. ACCESS G model has the remnants tracking ALL the way down the Queensland coast to 23s before moving off shore next Tuesday If that scenario comes off . 4-5 days of big trouble for QLD coasters
  4. Been collecting info and picks on this event if interested https://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2014/04/04/far-nth-peninsula-of-australia-possible-cyclone-april-2014/ and the Australian forum to follow for this is here current page 52 http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthreads.php/topics/1255431/62
  5. Collected some snaps and info on TC Christine for anyone who is interested link http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2013/12/22/cyclone-threat-for-wa-last-week-of-dec-2013/ Australian forum thread for this event here http://forum.weatherzone.com.au/ubbthreads.php/topics/1228159/Re_Severe_Tropical_Cyclone_Chr#Post1228159
  6. got this graph from you guys http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/gif/pole30_nh.gif Why is stratosphere so anomonously COLD?> Usually a severe cold strat' produces an SSW during peak cold in January This looks very substantial? http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2013/09/16/stratospheric-warmings-in-the-northern-hemisphere/
  7. If you can watch this convergence now.. AWESOME http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/movies/m5wv/m5wvjava.html
  8. An intense .low forming in mid lat' nth pacific late this week sometimes an instigator of an SSW. MSLP Not strong enough yet l expect http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2013/09/16/stratospheric-warmings-in-the-northern-hemisphere/comment-page-1/#comment-200
  9. Here is a link to our New south wales fires .. http://www.rfs.nsw.gov.au/dsp_content.cfm?CAT_ID=683 The situation has improved but still some fires idling quietly, awaiting for some bad weather to flare them up again. Unfortunately many are started by humans .In fact many reports of young minor teenagers starting many fires this spring.. Only a couple of fires started by electric power poles and lightning.. The weather in NSW this spring was dry and hot.. Very early fires.. In Victoria were l come from further south. We have been cool and damp. In N/west WA some near records for Fitzr
  10. The 10 hpa stratospheric warm anomalies have completely subsided in the SH and the NH is ramping up ------------------------------ ACCESS G ( model) is indicating a severe intense low in the sub polar nth pacific ocean next wed 6th nov 2013 Last year an intense low in the same area accompanied/initiated an SSW in the same area. Could be a good one to watch.. Select..Play the animation and watch next Wednesday the 6th NOV around 5pm http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=windbarb&level=gradient&tz=AEDT&area=G&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+Vie
  11. The IPCC report cannot tell us when the current warming hiatus will end Climate cycle researchers can tell you ..There will be no more global warming before 2030 Global temps' started declining around 2006 . They will not start increasing again before 2030. May the best man win..
  12. Current global land temperatures 4th Oct 2013 source http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/mspps/np_images/amsua_ts_des.gif
  13. WINTER STORM ATLAS in the USA dumping LOTS of SNOW<br />http://www.weather.com/news/weather-winter/winter-storm-atlas-forecast-20131001<br />
  14. Could see Typhoon FITOW clearly on the Global sat pic' tonight Thought the west pacific looks quite fertile for cyclogenesis currently snap
  15. Severe weather event for the Nth Island of New Zealand underway Intense sub-Tropical low transitions on Nth New Zealand and further intensification Nasty piece!! I did a bit of a wrap on the event. for tomorrow and Wednesday on my blog if you want some info' http://weathercycles.wordpress.com/2013/09/23/intense-low-bearing-down-on-the-nth-island-of-new-zealand-24th-and-25th-september-2013/ Max' intensity expected by ACCESS G around midnight tomorrow ----------------------------------------- Also of interest G Wolf is that Mount Hutt ski resort on the sth Island of NZ had the heaviest
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