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Tim Bland

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  • Gender
    Male
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    STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
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    I AM A POLICE OFFICER, HAD AN INTEREST IN WEATHER FROM A YOUNG AGE. MY AMBITION IS TO GO STORM CHASING IN TORNADO ALLEY - STILL WORKING ON THE WIFE!

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  1. Very snowy nxt weekend on the GFSp as that trough slips SE
  2. Better than ECM IMO with lower heights / pressure and more in the way of snow ECM for comparison
  3. Those who are worried about lack of snow - Models are not good at picking up convection and troughs in the flow from an easterly. With slack low pressure, very cold uppers and warmer than average sea temps there will be plenty of the white stuff!
  4. Was just about to post the same...must be a DP or DAM issue? Uppers and ground temps look ok. Anyone with access to that data able to share?
  5. Yep, that line of snow showers this morning was very well forecast. Euro4 had it arriving Arnold My location at 8am this morning 48hrs out and it was bang on Q
  6. Indeed ...GFSp gets there in the end. Trouble is this model viewing malarkey is a bit like chasing pots of gold at the end of rainbows...
  7. I’d say fairly likely now that at least some will see a snow event Tues. There isn’t many models not backing it. Sweet spot looks to be NW especially with elevation but it will come down to 24hrs before and the high res models to decipher
  8. Longer the GFSp roll out is delayed the better IMO. We get 2 outputs to compare rather than just 1. Plus it means I don’t have to talk to my wife between the GFS and ECM output
  9. Are you able to share what that run would actually produce? 0.8 inches for East Anglia for example doesn’t seem that hyped up for an easterly?
  10. If GFSp is the worst case scenario we are not in a bad place! More likely is a blend of this and GFS / ECM
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