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Tim Bland

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    STEVENAGE, HERTS (100M ASL)
  • Interests
    I AM A POLICE OFFICER, HAD AN INTEREST IN WEATHER FROM A YOUNG AGE. MY AMBITION IS TO GO STORM CHASING IN TORNADO ALLEY - STILL WORKING ON THE WIFE!

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  1. It says 35c but that’s splitting hairs..Can you point me to the 12z ECM Temps for Heathrow? I don’t think we can see that granular detail do we? don’t forget this time last week we were laughing at some of the output showing 35/36c for Fri. It turned out to be nearly 38c at Heathrow
  2. Keeping an eye on this area to see if that convection increases as it spreads into the v hot air in place
  3. 36c now official at Kew Gardens..those high res models such as Aperge where not far off after all! Could 37/38c be achieved? Could the Cap be broken after all?
  4. 1st signs of instability pushing up from the south...I have a good feeling about this evening in East Anglia / South East at least....
  5. Wouldn’t capping Just prevent Home grown storms? Won’t prevent elevated storms spreading up from France in the evening?
  6. Thurs looks very warm and mainly sunny for most and Fri is hot, Sat also fairly warm...so a ‘summery’ few days ...
  7. Still too early for details but as per above ECM looks good for some storms fri night / Sat. PS when people refer to ‘Windy’. They do realise this is just an app for viewing models. You can select which model you want to view, below for example is ECM
  8. ECM is very disappointing. 1 hot day Friday before it breaks down on sat with Thundery showers and then very unsettled by day 10
  9. ECM 12z is very dry. 1-2mm for most areas over the 10 days
  10. Huge ECM coming up. What it does post weekend is really key!!
  11. Massive ECM coming up. Could be life changing!!!
  12. Is their still a lack of data (due to reduced flights ) that could be contributing to the Shannon entropy?
  13. I think the issue is not that you posted a chart and commented on what it was showing, but how you appeared to support the output from the GFS and dismiss the output from almost all other models. If you had just posted the GFS and said “IF this run is correct then it will be unsettled” then no one can complain as this is the ‘model output discussion ‘ thread. What you said was ; ”looks like another 2 - 3 weeks of Autumn and depressing mid teens temps (at least for my area) to look forward to.”
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