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Jo Farrow

Senior forecaster
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Everything posted by Jo Farrow

  1. A look at the issues and warnings for Ireland as ex-hurricane Ophelia arrives to start the working week. Read more here
  2. Think the army is being sent out, Ireland Defence forces? on latest tweet
  3. The amber warning for NI runs for Monday afternoon well into the evening. Belfast, the ferries across to Britain. the S SSE winds directly hitting the Down coast at rush hour
  4. No I meant, what ever the warning system is, peoples perceptions have to be considered but not paralysing. Someone just said there are people who are unaware still that this event is coming. A yellow is still a warning of severe weather. I think that can sometimes be lost. The Met Office are still updating , an amber may well appear
  5. If a red gets issued, people then think the orange isn't as dangerous.
  6. I wrote this a few years ago but it explains how the warnings are no longer set by numerical limits of wind speed or rainfall amounts, it is about the impacts, where, how many, time of day, what the location is used to https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/6466-yellow-amber-red---how-are-met-office-warnings-made
  7. It's not about wind strength , it's about impacts. It may well get altered but it kicks all sorts of emergency adn logistical processes so look at the overall message, not the colour
  8. Show Meteo Alarm be showing the Met Eireann red warning? http://www.meteoalarm.eu/en_UK/1/0/EU-Europe.html
  9. Strongest winds will be in SE quadrant ahead of the surface low pressure, hurricane force gusts possible, mean sustained winds of storm force for south coast of Ireland. National Weather Warnings STATUS RED Met Eireann, issued Sat 14th Oct Wind Warning for Galway, Mayo, Clare, Cork and Kerry Hurricane Ophelia is expected to transition to a post tropical storm as it approaches our shores on Monday bringing severe winds and stormy conditions . Mean wind speeds in excess of 80 km/h and gusts in excess of 130km/h are expected, potentially causing structural damage and disruption, with dangerous marine conditions due to high seas and potential flooding. Issued: Saturday 14 October 2017 13:18 Valid: Monday 16 October 2017 09:00 to Tuesday 17 October 2017 03:00 STATUS ORANGE Wind Warning for The rest of the country Hurricane Ophelia is expected to transition to a post tropical storm as it approaches our shores on Monday. Mean wind speeds between 65 and 80 km/h with gusts between 110 and 130km/h are expected, however some inland areas may not be quite as severe. The winds have potential to cause structural damage and disruption, with dangerous marine conditions due to high seas and potential flooding. Issued: Saturday 14 October 2017 13:21 Valid: Monday 16 October 2017 09:00 to Tuesday 17 October 2017 03:00
  10. All the charts will have to be viewed, there still could be slight changes in the track next 24hours, so areas affected could vary. As Hurricane #Ophelia undergoes transition from 'proper' hurricane to post-tropical cyclone with hurricane force winds, shown on NHC graphic as black circle H to white circle H (then white circle S, storm): The resulting cyclone/low will bring a stifling warm sector, note 25/26C for SE Britain on Monday. the thickness charts show a warm pool of air(over 1km up- warm seclusion) remnants of the warm core which won't exist at the surface by the time Ophelia reaches Ireland. Surface low forecast for/near SW Ireland. The strongest gusts occur in the SE quadrant of a low (in N.hemisphere). 73mph+ temp gusts, the mean sustained winds look to reach storm force for S.coast of Ireland. Met Eireann from Sat Wind Warning for Galway, Mayo, Clare, Cork and Kerry Hurricane Ophelia is expected to transition to a post tropical storm as it approaches our shores on Monday bringing severe winds and stormy conditions . Mean wind speeds in excess of 80 km/h and gusts in excess of 130km/h are expected, potentially causing structural damage and disruption, with dangerous marine conditions due to high seas and potential flooding.
  11. Let's stay on Ophelia in this thread, there's enough variation in that
  12. His usual Weekly Friday video is out . I spoke to him last night, he's been rushed off his feet with interviews and chat about the Great Storm. He'll need a lie down next week https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8494-michael-fish-30-years-on-from-the-great-storm-hurricane-ophelia-looms-large
  13. a bit of an explanation https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8491-whats-all-this--its-not-a-hurricane--stuff-ophelia-heads-our-way
  14. Some answers in here https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8491-whats-all-this-quotits-not-a-hurricanequot-stuff-ophelia-heads-our-way A hurricane (cyclone) can turn extra tropical but not back again to a warm core hurricane.
  15. agreed, if this does come off, it is just a technicality.
  16. It's not a true hurricane by then, the circle is white, so post-tropical. Will still be severe weather if this comes off, and it is still a few days away. Can't truly say Ireland will be hit by a hurricane, from this chart. https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8491-whats-all-this-quotits-not-a-hurricanequot-stuff-ophelia-heads-our-way
  17. https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/8491-whats-all-this-quotits-not-a-hurricanequot-stuff-ophelia-heads-our-way
  18. they do it all the time, just have to not share the link, copy and paste an image is fine. then they don't get extra clicks. Express have apocalyptic weather headlines every few days so this bit won't stand out for them . So that is good.
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