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Jo Farrow

Senior forecaster
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Everything posted by Jo Farrow

  1. GFS shows there is more to come for Irish Sea and northern BRitain as cold front clears SE England
  2. There are quite a few official Flood warnings out from https://check-for-flooding.service.gov.uk/alerts-and-warnings and SEPA . Flood alerts in Wales
  3. Let's stay on thread with Isha, https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99794-possible-storm-jocelyn-tuesday/ for Tuesday low
  4. from Scotrail "A train has struck a tree at Crosshill on the Cathcart Circle. There are no injuries, however the tree is stuck underneath the train." and "A tree has fallen onto the railway near East Linton on the East Coast Main Line. Initial reports are that the overhead wires have been damaged. Our engineers are responding. More soon." Scotrail Trains finished at 19:00 and plenty of info for scottish railways about delays for Monday morning whilst tracks are checked
  5. from Scotrail "A train has struck a tree at Crosshill on the Cathcart Circle. There are no injuries, however the tree is stuck underneath the train." and "A tree has fallen onto the railway near East Linton on the East Coast Main Line. Initial reports are that the overhead wires have been damaged. Our engineers are responding. More soon." Scotrail
  6. For those of us in Scotland, it is beginning to howl and I'd imagine those who are in for the night, will be pleased. The amber warnings run 18z til 06Z but the northern one has moved from Medium likelihood of medium impacts to now include a low likelihood (within the marked area) of seeing HIGH impacts too. these are outlined on the Met Office website
  7. THe fine detail on the UKV doesn't suggest that and paints a different pciture to what you might see on the GFS. For England it will be the strong gusts along the Cold front which will be lively tonight
  8. The likelihood of the (already mentioned) HIGH impacts would have to move from Low through Medium to High, I wonder if they can be that certain of where & when? Amber is out, people who are going to listen should be heading home, it's Sunday evening/night. Different time of day, then yes there would be room to upgrade. Who knows
  9. It looks a possibility, UKV also showing a intense core in Moray Firth 03Z which doesn't look entirely due to being back over the sea
  10. This may be a post more for model discussion rather than the reality of severe and stormy weather incoming to a good part of the UK tonight.
  11. We'll see how the winds increase this evening Observations in the hour from 2pm
  12. I think this is where the matrix doesn't quite work unless you have been keeping an eye on it. So maybe there are still medium likelihood of medium impacts but also am additional low likelihood of HIGH impacts added on. same in East Lothian, more energy out there in last half an hour. I've secured the outdoor stuff. The hens are not impressed and are lurking in a huff. Will await this evening and overnight
  13. and that the MO warnings look at the likelihood of strong winds/heavy rain etc against impacts to come up with the chosen colour warning. MO "These impacts can include damage to property, travel delays and cancellations, loss of water supplies, power cuts and, in the most severe cases, bring a danger to life. We show this combination of impact and likelihood in a matrix" So Sunday night may not see as many impacts as say the same weather event on Monday morning, nor a core of severe gales hitting the M4 as Highland Scotland. But for individuals there is still the risk of dangerous conditions and incidents. A good mention there of the sodden ground too
  14. Yes, can you include your location area in bio, ta
  15. Met Office surface pressure and YR satellite https://www.met.no/en/weather-and-climate/satellite-images
  16. Always. The Met Office will be keeping an eye on the warnings all day. Met eireann do warn using numerical limits, not so much impacts so a different way to the UK.
  17. The amber over Scotland has a low likelihood of HIGH impacts now
  18. The same Medium impacts are part of the warnings from MO but within the Amber area, they are more likely. This is important
  19. Naming of storms is a communication tool, to highlight a severe event. The MO warnings show the detail of areas/ likelihood and impacts. The winds last night caused power outages in local areas and it sounded lively outside. That the actual storm has yet to arrive has hopefully highlighted to people that maybe travelling home a bit early on Sunday would be a good idea or moving activities a few hours earlier might help today. To prepare outside stuff, NOT to put out the recycling tonight ready for Monday morning pickup (although I see someone in my street has done exactly that) Being a 'storm' it's not a medal of highest wind speeds, it's about potential impacts and letting people know to make preparations and, hopefully, informed decisions. Monday morning travel could be impacted, it's nice to to have a heads-up in good time. After the event, the stand-out impactful ones will have an easy label - like Desmond's rain, Arwen's winds and Babet's coastal onslaught.
  20. Storm Isha announced as finale in a very windy, but milder, weekend WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Storm Isha will arrive later on Sunday. The weekend looks windy, wet in the west but milder A risk of flooding in the heavy rain and thaw but it's Sunday night that could be stormy.
  21. Radar shows how close the precipitation came to southern England. Quite the event for France Germany Switzerland Meanwhile heavy snow in Arctic flow for northern mainland Scotland and the islands, with an Amber warning for 18th
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