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Sky Full

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About Sky Full

  • Rank
    Sky High

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
  • Interests
    Weather (of course), climate change, architecture, agriculture, country and coastal walking, dogs, wildlife. Tottenham Hotspur FC, Welsh Rugby Union.
  • Weather Preferences
    Extremes of all kinds...

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  1. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Hmmm.... NETWEATHER snow forecast disagrees with me, though...
  2. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    I would love to see some early snow settling as much as anyone, but I can't see it happening this week tbh. With maximum 850s of 4-5 I don't see snow falling anywhere in Wales outside Snowdonia and the Brecons, let alone settling. This is what the ICON shows for the next few days - not really cold enough:
  3. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    There is plenty of hope-casting going on elsewhere on NW but the chances of an early Winter cold spell of weather affecting Wales have receded this morning. We will see some average or slightly below average temperatures over the next few days but we may to wait a little longer before we see any significant snow. We will get some, though - winter hasn't even started yet!
  4. I'm straining to peer into the future to try and discover what conditions we will see at the beginning of winter proper. These are the current charts for +240h which is all I have access to....... 500s. 850s ECM GFS GFS Par GEM JMA. . There certain similarities in places but more than enough differences to leave confidence in any one outcome quite low. The main feature which seems to be common to all is that high pressure remains in place near Greenland and as long as that holds up we have every chance of a cold start to December.
  5. Joe Root playing a blinder - highest score by any England captain in Sri Lanka now - would make him automatic man of the match....provided England can avoid losing more wickets for an hour or two and push the score beyond any chase by the home team.
  6. These charts from 1st December 2010 preceded some of the most memorable winter weather seen in December in recent years: We all know what followed in 2010. So when I saw these charts from the GFS showing a possible evolution for 01/12/2018 I couldn't help making comparisons..... i would say they hold at least as much potential, if not even more, for a cold and wintry December this year. Very exciting prospects indeed! Now all we need is for these conditions to verify..... What are the chances, eh?
  7. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Just been outside with Rosie (the dog...) ... Sun's broken through, patches of blue sky visible, still a lot of shower cumulus about but it seems to be thinning. Not bad now, for a mid- November day. Fairly mild but quite breezy. Funny how conditions can change so dramatically over 12 hours. Thankfully we seem to be free from damage, although plenty of water still streaming off the fields so I guess the river levels will take a while to subside. No sign of any real cold yet but plenty of time for that before Christmas, eh?
  8. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Another evil day for Wales yesterday with some river levels in the south west getting close to the record maximums recorded in early October. Some respite overnight has seen levels recede a little but any heavy showers today in the wrong places could bring some localised flooding. The wind has dropped overnight and it's been a calmer start to the day but already we have had a heavy downpour. Currently the sky is brightening again here and I'm hoping for a couple of hours without rain if we're lucky. Looking less stormy and possibly sunnier at times next week but the weather remains changeable if still on the mild side. Have not lit the fire yet as not really cold enough yet here at least, but we've made it up ready!
  9. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Just got back after three weeks abroad in England... Have been watching the rainfall levels while I was away but could not believe the amount of water on the rural roads around here. They seem to be almost at capacity already and yet there is another 60+mm rain forecast for parts of south west Wales over the next three days. Together with high winds today and tonight this is not good news for our location but at least next week promises to be less wild and a bit drier.... The sky is just lightening to a dull steely grey with heavy cloud cover and rain is imminent. Will have to take down the bird feeders again or they'll end up in the undergrowth later if we get the wind gusts as predicted.
  10. OMG. What a time to be a weather enthusiast! After some of the most eventful weather conditions to come our way in recent years showing up in just the last nine months alone, we now have the following charts on view in the pretty reliable short term - and it's not even November yet!! UKMO ECM GFS GEM. . Surely this is the stuff of deep mid-winter? No, it's just 144 hours away. But the best thing is, it's brought back all the old NW Coldies to move this thread along at three pages a day and more. Fantastic reading, hours of fun, informative, educational and sometime hilarious posts galore. You just can't buy this stuff with money. Thanks to everyone out there taking the trouble to make their thoughts known to us all - and helping me to understand a little more about this wonderful, chaotic, unpredictable thing we call WEATHER!
  11. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Goodbye Callum. You weren't invited but you came anyway. You wreaked pain and damage on the people of Wales and you stayed too long. Good riddance.
  12. More powerful than even the October 1987 'hurricane' then? That is surprising - imagine how much worse conditions would have been had Callum made landfall in Ireland or the south west of the U.K. Only by chance have we avoided extensive damage this time, but are these events going to be more commonplace and more extreme in years to come?
  13. Sky Full

    Storm Callum - Atlantic Storm 3

    The wind here just keeps coming and coming with very violent gusts every now and then. I think the valleys around the Preselli Hills somehow concentrate the wind into a funnel effect. I know the gusts can't be more than 65-70kph maximum but it seems much worse when you hear the roof complaining, the trees roaring and see mature oaks and ashes being shaken around like twigs. The rain eased off a bit earlier but seems to be trying to return. This is taking its time to 'blow through' I have to say. Those inland and in sheltered spots are lucky to have missed it.
  14. Sky Full

    Storm Callum - Atlantic Storm 3

    Was woken at 3:00am by rain hitting the window like a fire hose, driven by very strong gusty wind whistling around the eaves. Couldn't get much sleep after that but we had a lull in the rain after dawn for a couple of hours. Raining steadily again now but the wind, whilst still gusty, is not as wild as last night. The short term models indicate that wind spreeds will pick up and rainfall will intensify again between 12:00 and 13:00 so this might be the peak period for this location. I am hoping for a slow but steady decline in the wind and rain during the rest of today and tomorrow and a relatively calm Sunday. Curious how the storm centre has tracked out in the Atlantic off the west coast of Ireland and will be in the vicinity of Iceland before long but the worst conditions (apart from out in the Atlantic) are over Wales, and perhaps Cumbria, a couple of hundred miles away.....
  15. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    There was a lull in the rain here for a couple of hours after dawn but it's back now in earnest. The sky is darkening as I write so I guess there's a heavier burst not far off. On the plus side, the wind so far is not as bad as last night and although gusty it's not strong enough to be damaging, here at least. We'll cope with the rain in this area because there's plenty of culverts and streams to take the water away but it's not ideal if you need to be driving this morning.
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