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Sky Full

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Everything posted by Sky Full

  1. Sky Full

    Premier League Discussion

    Spurs v Leicester: 0 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 3 2 - 3 3 - 3 4 - 3 5 - 4 What a game! Could still go either way. This is what Premiership football should be like all the time.... Anyone attending this game is getting proper value for money. But then, it IS Spurs playing so nothing new there...
  2. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Sunday and today have been the best two days of the year to date. 23.6c yesterday and 24.0c today and not a cloud in sight. Been outside all day both days. When the weather is like this I don't want to be anywhere else in the world - it is simply the best place. Must have been busy at the beaches but we decided to stay at home and enjoy the peace and quiet. Forecast for tomorrow is quite a bit colder and cloudier but still not much rain in the forecast so I'm happy with that. It is a pity that the atmospheric patterns which are needed to bring these weather conditions to Wales don't happen very often. I think we'll be lucky if we can repeat this more than three or four times this summer.
  3. The best day of the year to date is coming to an end - what a pity. We managed to reach 24.0c today - a little higher than yesterday but not as hot as those only fifty or so miles east and beyond. 19:05 hrs - temperature now 20.1c Clear skies. Light air / calm.
  4. 08:50 hrs. Temperature now 19.2c. - that's +9c in 2 hours. Looking good for a perfect morning.
  5. Beautiful cloudless sunrise. Clear, calm air. No mist in the valley this morning. Temp: 10.4c (06:40hrs) Pressure: 1019 mb
  6. It remained cloudless all day, contrary to the forecast for this area, with a light cooling breeze which was welcome in the warm sunshine. Maximum temperature reached: 23.6c at 13:30 hrs. 19:00 hrs: Current conditions:. Clear skies, light air, 18.9c (!)
  7. We don't get a lot of clam round here () but at 7.31 we also have a mild start and totally clear skies so far. No breeze. Early morning mist has cleared from the valley. Temperature 12.8c and rising....
  8. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Well, despite my pessimism the day turned out much better than expected. Sun broke through around 11:30am and the sky continued to clear and we ended up with wall to wall sunshine all afternoon! Temperatures responded accordingly and tomorrow I expect we should reach at least 20C. So, pretty good after all and prospects of another two similar days to come. I'll not complain again (this week, anyway.....).
  9. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    I don't like to be the one to moan a lot, but over here in west Wales we seem to be doomed to miss the sun-fest. Current conditions are overcast / low cloud with light air to dead calm so the cloud cover is not being shifted. It doesn't look as though the sun will make an appearance until much later on today, if at all. . Tomorrow and Monday might be better - we will have to see - but if the low cloud and fog in the Irish Sea continues to track inland, chances are we'll have more overcast conditions to enjoy. Maximum temperature in this area is unlikely to reach 20C at this rate. On the plus side, none of this spells rain so I'm going to get the barbecue out whatever else happens. To everyone else in Wales - enjoy the sun and Summer-like temperatures while they last!
  10. 1) Hottest April day for 70 years 2) Hottest London marathon on record 3) Models showing possibility of hottest ever May Day bank holiday..... ECM for 07/05/2018 UKMO for 07/05/2018 Am I sensing a trend here, or is it wishful thinking? Could even more temperature records be broken this summer? Maybe we could even coin a name for this phenomenon - something like 'world heating' perhaps. Or is there already a name for it?
  11. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    Welcome to the madhouse, Nick. There's not much action in here at this time year - it takes freezing cold and snow to wake up the main crowd in any numbers, but there's always someone about in the Model Output thread. If things go as indicated we might be in for a few days of sun and light winds over the bank holiday weekend which will be extremely welcome in these parts, I can tell you!
  12. Hmmm... That's all a bit worrying. Makes you wonder how there were any years left for a good summer to occur? Perhaps truly memorable summers have always been rare. But then, one mans 'good summer' is another mans 'unbearable heat fest' so perhaps there could never be consensus on this definition.
  13. The GFS 0Z shows a very fragmented and disorganised Jetstream over the North Atlantic for the middle of May: Would I be right in thinking that this would leave the UK in a changeable pattern but with no extremes either way? No more storms, heavy rain or sudden severe frosts would be a good thing in my view. Let's get on with the summer!
  14. Can't have the poor old ICON left out of this discussion.... Here is the rain event for the south east as seen by ICON but this is spread over two runs - the current run has the rain getting a little further west....but no snow.
  15. Yes - looks like parts of East Anglia will get a double whammy of high rainfall totals and high wind gusts during Monday and Tuesday - possibly Cromer to get the brunt of it.... P Did someone mention Spring?
  16. Forgive my use of a highly non-technical term - it just seemed appropriate at the time ! It's a pity that the ECM gif was not working properly because it showed the low pressure system moving strongly south-east and pushing the high pressure in front of it. Admittedly by the 7th the ECM still has high pressure in charge but it's already moving away. If the ECM went out further than +240 I am sure it would have shown the low pressure dominating by the 8th or 9th. I have attempted to post the gif again here: I think it works if you click on it. The GFS never let the high build in strongly in the first place, so it was only the GEM from this mornings output which seemed to plant the high pressure firmly over us and build against the Atlantic lows. Of course, we are talking about a period which is still 10 days away and things are already moving along - a different evolution will no doubt be the reality.
  17. ECM and GFS currently agree on an arm of the Azores high pressure extending across the UK by 4th May only to be shunted out of the way somewhat by the 7th or 8th by low pressure arriving from Greenland.... ECM GFS GEM, on the other hand, sees the Azores high being made of stronger stuff and holding the low pressure off to the west... GEM. (Edit: ECM gif not working, apparently....)
  18. Sleet or even snow for central and southern England on Monday according to the Arpege..!
  19. ECM, GFS and GEM currently in broad agreement for higher pressure to be building towards the UK by May 4th bringing a continental influence to our weather.... ECM GFS GEM. Could be a nice start to May after all. But can we sustain this pattern or even improve upon it over the next few days? Would be great if those glorious charts from Frosty and Summer Sun above came about!
  20. Although the CFS longer term output can be regarded as crude at best, and not much more than pure guesswork at worst, out of interest I have looked at the CFS output through May and it's not all bad news: 1st May 5th May 9th May 13th May 17th May 21st May 25th May 29th May This sequence indicates that there is hope for a warmer, more settled spell mid-month but there is also a lot of influence from North Atlantic low pressure systems moving in from time to time. It may be a waste of time making plans based on this output but it will be interesting to see how close the reality is, or how badly this model gets it wrong, perhaps? The U.K. weather remains as unpredictable as ever, so we will probably see a completely different situation evolving by the end of May.....
  21. Oh dear. First four days of May and the U.K. is swallowed by a rabbit hole..... Not a pretty sight if you're looking for settled weather but once it moves away east it might allow something more summery to develop from the south west - worth watching anyway.
  22. Very interesting - especially the Seasonal Cycle graph which is one of the clearest statistical demonstrations of the warming atmosphere I have ever seen. It would be quite ironic if the effects of melting sea ice on the Atlantic circulation brought colder conditions to Northern Europe while most other parts of the world continue to warm up.
  23. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    After a very unpromising start this morning with overnight rain and persistent low cloud, the sun broke through at around 11.00am and we ended up with a very respectable high of 17.5C and mostly sunny. The gloss was taken off, though, by strong, gusty winds which were gale force at times. Not sure what caused the unexpected windy conditions but perhaps that's what blew the clouds away! I'm hoping the wind will drop tomorrow and we still get some of this April sunshine, but the forecast high is only 13C here which will be very disappointing if that's all we can manage. Still, at least it is dry!
  24. Sky Full

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    There's me thinking Spring was upon us, and then we get a night like last night...... Please - no more! Strong gusty winds and heavy rain battering the windows kept me awake like a winter storm - and if it was up to me it would have had its own name (not one I can print though). The national forecasters were happy to describe these conditions as 'windy' and 'patchy rain' but they should have been here, that's all I'm saying. Rain and wind have eased up now but no sign of the sun hereabouts. Just hoping we will get the opportunity to dry out on Thursday and Friday before it all goes downhill again.
  25. The GFS shows the Jetstream continuing to target the UK through late April and early May and until we can see this move further north the weather is likely to remain influenced by the Atlantic and therefore mainly unsettled, and probably cool or average temperatures at best: Disclaimer: this is the gospel according to the GFS and is not written in stone!