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Sky Full

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Everything posted by Sky Full

  1. This has been a nice Autumn day - cool and breezy with plenty of sunshine. Showers threatening but managed to miss me so far and we had another lovely sunrise….. Every morning at sunrise we have increasingly large flocks of starlings flying overhead from their woodland roost about two miles away, heading for their feeding grounds. Last year these flocks grew to enormous size by January, probably numbering 10s of thousands. It’s quite a phenomenon and difficult to accept that even though they can appear in such large flocks starlings have declined in number by over 80% since 1969.
  2. I’m looking to get an idea of the amount of rain we can expect over the next week, hoping that some of us can have a drying out period…. Here are the rainfall accumulation totals as predicted by the UKMO and the ECM for the next seven days….. That’s not too bad, with some parts of Wales having minimal rainfall. Some disagreement over the North West but perhaps some of us can look forward to a couple of reasonably dry days this week?
  3. Storm Ciaran yesterday, and then the morning after….. Mother Nature has a strange sense of humour, perhaps?
  4. Some torrential bursts of rain over the last hour must have pushed the total up a few mm and our lane outside looks like a river….. Lucky I’m on a hill which drains away in two directions so no risk of flooding but the local roads are going to be flooded in places. IMG_1184.mov
  5. Steady rain set in overnight and looks likely to continue for a few hours yet, but not so much the wind….? Unless I slept through it (unlikely!) we seem to have missed the worst of the gales and the storm has passed now so the wind should continue to moderate this morning. I’ve seen some images from the Channel Islands though, and I think they’ve had a very rough night. Three in hospital and homes evacuated as Storm Ciarán blasts Jersey with 100mph winds JERSEYEVENINGPOST.COM AT least three people are in hospital and dozens have been moved to hotel accommodation as Storm Ciarán blasts the Island with near hurricane-strength...
  6. That made me smile! I’m also not worried about a perfect lawn and sometimes think I’ve got more weeds than grass! I let half of it grow wild in the summer but all that achieved was to allow the dandelions and buttercups to become totally dominant! Even so, it’s nice to see it when it’s cut but no chance of that now - I can’t even walk on it without sloshing around in the puddles and I’m supposed to have a well-drained garden!
  7. Well, the ground around here is well and truly saturated and the grass is mostly like walking on marshland. If there’s going to be any chance of cutting the grass again before the winter I’m going to need at least 48 hours without rain and preferably two consecutive days of sunshine. Nothing like that is currently being forecast in the reliable timeframe and the main immediate concern is likely to be wind, anyway. Still, I continue to hope for a break in this very unsettled weather - maybe around mid-November. It would be good to have that followed by increasingly cold and frosty conditions as December approaches. It’s still possible!
  8. We are indeed forecast to be lucky as things stand. The tip of Cornwall, the south coast, the Channel Islands and East Kent are currently in the firing line for what could be severe storm force winds. There is another system barrelling across the Atlantic immediately after Ciaran but this looks like it’s targeting Northern France according to the models.
  9. A yellow warning for damaging winds on Thursday has now been issued by the MetO and the storm has been given a name - Ciaran.
  10. All the models are currently forecasting a deep low pressure system arriving in the south-western approaches by next Thursday. This is likely to become a named storm and is currently shown to generate some damaging gusts - even the UKMO is predicting 100mph gusts in the channel next week….. This image shows the system circulating around south Wales so we might not be affected by the worst of the storm but it’s worth keeping an eye on it - if it tracks further north and deepens it could leave a trail of destruction. . Hopefully, it will move south and moderate…
  11. Already been noted above, but you don’t get to see 110mph wind gusts charted for the channel every day, especially by UKMO, so I couldn’t resist putting this up….. Im sure that’s going to moderate before next Thursday, and I’m just hoping it doesn’t move further north….!
  12. More pulses of heavy rain continue move north-east across Wales this morning, a pattern we have seen for several days now. Even my otherwise totally disinterested better-half has commented on the growing intensity of the showers moving in off the Atlantic, asking me why our rain is suddenly so tropical in nature! I’m afraid I couldn’t give a very convincing answer, but I guess it’s an increasing ability of the atmosphere to hold more water vapour as the climate gradually warms, also causing more and more turbulence. Can anyone give me a more scientific answer to this question? Or are we simply experiencing a relatively wet Autumn which is not actually very unusual?
  13. Yes - human life might still be viable on a planet with runaway greenhouse warming, but crucially it definitely wouldn’t be ‘life as we know it’. Indefinitely preserving life on earth as it exists currently is an impossible task but preserving it unchanged for humanity for another 1000 years is probably what we are trying to do in combatting climate change.
  14. More intense showers this morning but no reports of flooding or disruption locally. Looks like the rest of the day will have some sunshine and scattered heavy showers. It’s also an unsettled outlook for the rest of the week but no sign of really cold weather yet. Still got a surprising number of wasps, flies and slugs about so it must be mild!
  15. I thought I caught a flash through the window (not that kind of flash!) but we were watching that film about Dream Alliance - the valleys racehorse - and we were glued to the set. Didn’t hear any thunder or see any other signs of lightning but it wouldn’t surprise me if some popped anywhere along this line.
  16. On the radar, it looks like two separate squall lines squeezed into a band about twenty miles apart and the rain falling from the area between is like being in the centre of a heavy thunderstorm. I can hear it falling onto the roof, the car and the ground outside and it’s quite something to listen to it….very noisy. I’ll be glad when it eases up, probably after midnight at this rate! Where is all this water going to go??
  17. For those of you who are in the firing line for this band of rain I recommend that you make sure your windows are all shut tonight! The rain is now torrential and has now been falling like this for an hour or so, following an hour of less heavy stuff. The yellow warning is perfectly justified especially as it looks like we’ve got another hour to go before it passes through. I don’t have a rain gauge but I can’t believe we’ve had less than a couple of centimetres in the last hour. Must be horrible to be driving in it.
  18. The band of heavy rain (for which a yellow warning has been issued today) has reached us and is moving through as I write. Otherwise, today has been a really usable day with a lot of sunshine even if it was watery at times! The breeze was refreshing and not a nuisance and on a scale of 1 to 10, for late October, I give it an 8! (Not a very scientific analysis but we don’t always need charts to express our feelings about the weather! )
  19. After a generally wet day yesterday, this morning has started out dry and the sky is brightening gradually with the chance of a little sunshine perhaps, before the clouds return later. It has also been unusually calm, due to the circulation of the low pressure system being positioned favourably for this part of the world. It appeared to me that all the strongest winds were circulating around a centre point very close to Pembrokeshire for most of the last two days, so we were effectively in the ‘eye of the storm’, so to speak.
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