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Sky Full

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    Crymych, Pembrokeshire. 150m asl
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    Weather (of course), climate change, architecture, agriculture, country and coastal walking, dogs, wildlife. Tottenham Hotspur FC, Welsh Rugby Union.
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    Extremes of all kinds...

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  1. Lynxus Yes - GFS 6Z has a promising pattern developing between 19th and 22nd February…Greenland High in place and a.cold pool of air swooping down from the North East….. Could be a great early sighting of a late February cold spell, or it could be complete red herring. We will know by tomorrow…..
  2. A couple of hours of wild weather must be expected on Sunday evening as Storm Isha crosses Wales this weekend. This is the picture from the UKMO showing gusts widely around 70mph (120kph) at 10:00pm Sunday….. I think we can expect somewhere in the most exposed areas to record over 90mph at some point. Hope my shed can take it….!
  3. Great pictures - except for the upturned car which is nasty! How on earth did it end up on its roof? They never grit lanes like this round here - just the A roads, and the B-roads if you’re lucky! Icy hills and sloping cambers in the early morning frosts are extremely treacherous.
  4. Interesting article which shows all the usual weather models and their various interpretations of the cold weather ahead….. Maps show the dramatically varying forecasts for a massive snowstorm over Wales next week - and the huge uncertainty that remains - Wales Online WWW.WALESONLINE.CO.UK There remains huge uncertainty about the prospect of a "historic" snowfall in Wales So, as usual, there’s no agreement.
  5. Oh what a beauty! Pity it’s still in FI but we can dream, can’t we?
  6. It’s Christmas Eve - no snow and it’s warm enough to be March but at least the heatings bills will be smaller than usual! We are definitely going to get blizzards in the New Year - in my dreams at least - but we’ll have to wait for models to catch up with my forecast! NADOLIG LLAWEN to everyone on here and I hope you have a lovely restful and stress free day tomorrow.
  7. Yes - what a difference! Blue sky at last and we can start to dry out a bit. No significant rain expected now until the 23rd - but precious little sunshine either so must make the most of the afternoon….. Must now go and wash the car, I suppose.
  8. Is there a relatively simple explanation why this volcano has erupted simultaneously along a fissure rather than from a single vent? Once the pressure has created a single way out for the magma why does it continue to break out in other places? A stupid question probably but I don’t understand the mechanics of it.
  9. It’s been relentless now for a solid 48 hours and more to come. Here’s the rainfall accumulation forecast until 3:00pm tomorrow according to the UKMO showing that some areas can expect another 30mm (does not include the rain that fell yesterday)….
  10. Someone’s going to have Christmas with snow on the ground, at least, according to the GFS this morning…. ……but it won’t be me!
  11. Our Christmas present from GFS …. A short-lived side swipe but better than nothing. I hope we’re not disappointed when we finally unwrap it……
  12. However…..the GFS now suggests that we’re going to be stuck on the warm side of a powerful Jet Stream for at least a week which means relentless Atlantic westerlies….. This jet really needs to move south if we’re going to get any snow in December.
  13. White Christmas? It’s not impossible….. If I see it on Netweather, I believe it! Keep those fingers and toes crossed for a north-easterly all the way from Scandinavia. ️️
  14. Phew! Glad that’s over with. Nice calm, partly cloudy but still dry start here. Looking forward to a couple of settled days ahead with the promise of a longer settled period of weather leading up to Christmas. No snow on the horizon as it stands, unfortunately! GFS to the 19/12….
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