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Purga

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Everything posted by Purga

  1. Just when it looks like it may be over and a westerly regime is setting up Blink... and BHAM... another freezing easterly blast
  2. Just await the MJO update for an upgrade in about 48hrs.....
  3. And.... back come the -10 uppers into the SE again at t +225 from the EAST!
  4. GFS 18z giving almost 100 hours with sub -10C 850 hPa uppers over some part of the UK after t + +96hrs ------->
  5. “If Candlemas be fair and clear There’ll be two winters in one year!”
  6. And a further shift in the right direction with the 06z suite The T2M chart is worth a gander as well showing some decent frost potential for early Feb not to mention the snow potential
  7. It's an uncertain picture - as ever - emerging from the 18z. or On the face of it not inspiring but tantalisingly interesting ! Mind you Boris sums up the general theme
  8. Caution: Some of the following scenes may contain upsetting images. There may be a NW helpline for any viewers personally affected by the issues graphcally shown above......
  9. Oops apologies Panay - need to stop that bottle of sherry for breakfast...
  10. Go compare (in my best operatic voice ) Trending colder short / medium, milder extended.
  11. Test question: Which chart is better? Which chart is a belter? Which qustion refers to an adjective and which to an abstract noun? And whilst we try to work out distracting trivia will an easterly creep up on us!
  12. There are some cold runs showing up in the 18z GEFS The T2's are pretty chilly throughout with very few breaking into double figures for the whole run
  13. A fascinating FI chart from GFS 18z if ever I saw one! Anyone worried about lack of cold in the NH in the current winter see below Just need a nice easterly flow and by jingo we're nearly there
  14. With a proper easterly there certainly wouldn't be a problem with the sourced uppers not being cold enough! +216hrs is a CRACKER'
  15. I'm the man without a beard but I agree - now, there's a proper 'beast' waiting in the wings @ 192hrs
  16. Continuing interesting FI with trough diving NW/SE into Europe and heights developing to the north - Greenland even... The dreaded 'potential' word
  17. Interesting GFS 18z run so far, comparison at +144hrs Who do we trust now? GFS or ECM? not that I'm hinting of course
  18. A bit of ECM FI claptrap shaping up for you Nick GFS not a million miles away at this timescale
  19. An 'interesting' run (Steve Davis almost ). A zonal mild-fest it ain't for sure! PS: A more tastey European snow cover in far FI as well
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