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Everything posted by Purga
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Just when it looks like it may be over and a westerly regime is setting up Blink... and BHAM... another freezing easterly blast
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Just await the MJO update for an upgrade in about 48hrs.....
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GFS 18z giving almost 100 hours with sub -10C 850 hPa uppers over some part of the UK after t + +96hrs ------->
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And a further shift in the right direction with the 06z suite The T2M chart is worth a gander as well showing some decent frost potential for early Feb not to mention the snow potential
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It's an uncertain picture - as ever - emerging from the 18z. or On the face of it not inspiring but tantalisingly interesting ! Mind you Boris sums up the general theme
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Caution: Some of the following scenes may contain upsetting images. There may be a NW helpline for any viewers personally affected by the issues graphcally shown above......
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Oops apologies Panay - need to stop that bottle of sherry for breakfast...
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Could it be a genuine trend setter ?
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Test question: Which chart is better? Which chart is a belter? Which qustion refers to an adjective and which to an abstract noun? And whilst we try to work out distracting trivia will an easterly creep up on us!
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There are some cold runs showing up in the 18z GEFS The T2's are pretty chilly throughout with very few breaking into double figures for the whole run
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Just wait until everything corrects south BA
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A fascinating FI chart from GFS 18z if ever I saw one! Anyone worried about lack of cold in the NH in the current winter see below Just need a nice easterly flow and by jingo we're nearly there
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With a proper easterly there certainly wouldn't be a problem with the sourced uppers not being cold enough! +216hrs is a CRACKER'
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I'm the man without a beard but I agree - now, there's a proper 'beast' waiting in the wings @ 192hrs
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Continuing interesting FI with trough diving NW/SE into Europe and heights developing to the north - Greenland even... The dreaded 'potential' word
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Interesting GFS 18z run so far, comparison at +144hrs Who do we trust now? GFS or ECM? not that I'm hinting of course
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An 'interesting' run (Steve Davis almost ). A zonal mild-fest it ain't for sure! PS: A more tastey European snow cover in far FI as well