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Purga

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Everything posted by Purga

  1. Pretty strong support fron the 12z GEFS for a cooooold.... weekend.
  2. Seconds away - round 2! Nick - UKMO isn't too bad though is it really...
  3. I always thought the NASA model was best Blizzards and high wind chill for the SE
  4. This potential cold spell could be of longer duration than the recent one if GFS is to be believed as we retain the cold uppers (and low level cold) throughout. The NH chart below is bursting with cold potential! The run goes on to show mild air pushing in from the SW but I'm not so sure this happen in the current volatile atmosphere !
  5. Cracking runs this morning across the board ! The ECM Op takes the cold shot further north than the other models but the mean charts score a bullseye! The Op was one of the milder runs in the EPS suite for London for example 06z GFS looking spot on as well....
  6. Definite downward trend with the 12z GEFS The Op run is at the bottom of the pack but it does have considerable support. So, firming up on cold snap / spell towards 19th & onwards.
  7. Oh yeh...? Singularity at the end of next week C'mon Beast pleeeeaasseee don't miss us - pleeeeaaseee !
  8. I think the Beast has hijacked the 12z ENS mean from next friday onwards! Seriously though, there is a fair spread including plenty of ongoing cold ones.
  9. LOL - fatigued yes Nick! But always up for another round. Probably around mid May before I give up on the cold and even then a swift northerly blast and unexpected snowfall would be a delight to me.. EDIT: He says as another bout of snow streaks in front of my window on that gorgeous easterly having changed over now from earlirer rain / graupel and the tempdropping back from a brief 0C to -1C.
  10. LOL! Anyone fancy a nice blizzard again next Sunday? EA / SE in the frame
  11. Well we may be in for a 'less cold' week after the weekend but beyond that the outlook according to the GFS 06z Op run is anything but! Typically we go from this next Friday To this Ending with this The 06z ENS show a lot of spread but even after Mon / Tues next week there are a good few very cold members All in FI of course but little wonder that METO text updates for the extended period are remaining so wintry!
  12. Look at the latest fax chart showing the front much further south than the earlier one for the same time Latest Earlier Good if you want to prolong the cold!
  13. Yes, now all we need is a massive dump of snow tomorrow and Friday / Saturday to cover the whole country and keep the surface cold good and entrenched and we could be in for a nice bonus extra 10 days of cold and snow!
  14. Actually Nick, both ECM & METO toyed with the shortwave idea a few runs back if you recall. Let's hope this theme gets some legs with the other models!
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