Gadje
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Gadje replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Chesil View Thanks for your input. Your positive and informative posts I've enjoyed reading like many here. Till the next chase . Perhaps its time for spring. -
The front is coming in a bit faster than anticipated it seems. -5,5C here this morning showing dewpoint of -6.4C. You'd have to think some heavy snow is on its way. When have I thought that before. Its a pity the low hangs around bringing in milder air so dont think snow is going to be around long what ever. Still fingers crossed.
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Very mild today, 12C this evening. Happy if winter returns for us next week as the charts suggest. I do like spring......when its spring. Not seen any snow here in the Borders so far this winter but I think we will by months end and possiby even by week end. Thanks for all the pics from Kilties who got some snow and thanks to you for making a deprived coldie remember why I love snowfall so much!. Some beautiful pics. Its the 2nd of Feb and euphemisim aside plenty time for us snow lovers still to wax the sledge.
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Ice Day Really. Our Northern members!. OK. No surprises there mind.
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Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
Gadje replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
@WYorksWeather Well I'm not so glass half empty. These ensembles are trending colder as the charts you posted show. How cold? well we will need to wait and see. GFS Thursday - Saturday - Monday Still dropping and a growing cluster at -5 to -10 . Oh and that is London in the far South -
That because they dont live here. Huge differences in the weather in various parts of Scotland were you interested enough not to generalise.
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Lol two warmer runs at the time you show is not much support is it. Its also 10 days away and UKMO and ECM are different.
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The same thing happened in the 2018 spell though. After initial excitement the models at one point showed it trending south into France for a few runs narrowly missing us with much teddy chucking. The runs corrected nearer the time and we had a direct hit. So what you suggest is simply not always true is it. We dont know what's the case here yet. More runs needed!
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Gadje replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That explains a lot its footie fans discussing the weather on here. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Gadje replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
And much better shape with the high pressure squeezing into Greenland -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Gadje replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Being hopeful is all us coldies have, living in a little thin island off of the Atlantic as winter comes. Over optimism and lack of doubt is dangerous in most things in life but not in this. My hopes or fears or anyones for that matter dont impact the weather. We get what we get. So please Just let us coldies enjoy the hope this season brings. Tell us there is no hope if you like but dont expect us to accept it. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Gadje replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So perfect for you then. I suspect you're wrong however. Winter isn't over nor is cold in December I suspect. -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
Gadje replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
With support though. -
A few more days of this dreich stuff to suffer before looking likely high pressure comes in. Might be cold down south but average temps wise and cloudy for us lower and upper kilties but hopefully still dry. I'm taking note as I need to hire a digger soon, no point until the ground dries out a bit. A frost would help a lot, break up the soil and warm my coldie heart . GFS 12Z looking hopeful.
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Scotland Weather discussion
Gadje replied to Paul's topic in Scotland / Alba Community Group's Scottish Weather Discussion
Weird seeing the snow levels driving north yesterday and today Plenty snow yesterday in the Borders and Lothians. Nowt above that at all to Aviemore then winter scenes in Tomatin. Tomatin looking fab today then nowt at Inverness all the way up to Wick. Still lovely here, sunsets to die for. Dull start to winter my weeble. -
Scotland Weather discussion
Gadje replied to Paul's topic in Scotland / Alba Community Group's Scottish Weather Discussion
Looks like we may have at least a week of this cold. Tbh a week is enough. I'd like a break to get prepped for the real cold coming. -
Scotland Weather discussion
Gadje replied to Paul's topic in Scotland / Alba Community Group's Scottish Weather Discussion
A bit warmer than forecast now. 1.8C. Snowfall still hanging on - just..... Beautiful night all the same. Vastly better than whats gone before. -
Scotland Weather discussion
Gadje replied to Paul's topic in Scotland / Alba Community Group's Scottish Weather Discussion
All and all a pretty lovely day today. Cold, temps didn't get above freezing until after midday when the light snow started falling again. I could see a low winter hazy sun through the snow clouds, it looked pretty special. What a start to a coldie lovers winter and its still not winter yet. -
Model Output Discussion - Into February
Gadje replied to damianslaw's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Dont be disheartend Matt. Folk like me, like you, like most who come here on this site for winter come here excited in December (November for me) with hope of the seasonal weather our little Isle seldom provides. -
Scotland Weather discussion
Gadje replied to Paul's topic in Scotland / Alba Community Group's Scottish Weather Discussion
We use wood primarily for heating and cooking these days, so buy 12 tonnes at a time, complete logs and process them ourselves which is considerably cheaper but time consuming. Not everyone has that as an option I realise but using so much has given me a fairly good understanding of what timber to buy for burning, well of whats readily available in Scotland. Of hardwoods as mentioned ash is great. Low moisture content even when green. For softwood I've become a big fan of larch. Denser than usual softwood with a high resin content so it needs to be burned properly in a good stove and a good chimney but well worth it. Seasons quickly, easy to split and I reckon its not far from birch in calorific value, but cheaper and faster drying. Interestingly and somewhat sadly both species, ash and larch are currently being decimated by disease. There is not a mass of ash in Scotland in comparison but acres and acres of larch are coming down here.