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Joker

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Everything posted by Joker

  1. I have to agree with the level of ferocity of the block. Daytime temps for the south were -6 to -8 for some of those winters you stated. This current cold snap is a bit lame really but if it does break down next week there is still a lot of time to play for and Feb always brings the greatest opportunity - I love the Spring but I don't want to see an early one!
  2. Well this front moving in from France via the channel will deliver more for our area than the front we had coming in from the West yesterday. This one will possibly deepen as it heads across over the channel and give us those bigger soggy flakes. East Sussex and Kent should do well out of it. Of course we would love it to stall over the channel near to us but it is predicted to track N - what a pity!
  3. You will indeed see some decent snowfall tomorrow. I'd say 5cm to 8cm in your location by the end of Sunday.
  4. Absolutely and I urge some serious radar watching later tonight. We should see that depression starting to head across the channel by about 1-2 am (for night owls that is ).
  5. Frontal systems really developing over France now. Radar showing increasing intensity and that stuff has our name on it!
  6. As you say, exciting times and let's face it very interesting model watching. I mean, we could have zonal or anticyclonic gloom - both horrible. The snow potential for the UK is 10/10 and we should be thankful that conditions are just perfect. How many winters can we say that for ie a powerful SSW resulting in a cold block and numerous troughs and frontal systems one after the other crossing the country from all directions? All eyes now to the Greenland HIGH building and the depression forming over in France - some radar watching there later today is in order!
  7. The Greenland HIGH is likely to be the key to any possible Atlantic incursion. It's going to considerably dampen the energy of the jet and although temperatures may rise into the low single digits across the southern half of Britain, it will be short and sweet with cold uppers returning quite quickly. By next weekend I don't think we will be calling it a 'warm up' at all by any standards - just a little less cold!
  8. Coast, what's your view on that depression moving out of France on Sunday? Do you think it is likely to just skirt the extreme east of Kent and track NE?
  9. You certainly got nothing alright. Still Sunday should be your day!
  10. Looks like Worthing, Brighton etc will get some more heavier stuff from the sting in the tail for a while and then - fin!
  11. It will be if the depression moving North out of France tracks a little to the West but it is (at the moment) predicted to track N to NE. Anywhere from Eastbourne eastwards at the moment is the best spot with East Anglia probably in the bullseye.
  12. I concur. The front has weakened for the past few hours now and clearly evident on the radar. Latest BBC forecast has also confirmed this. All eyes now on the track of the depression on Sunday in France.
  13. Confidence is low for the track of that depression - it may miss the SE altogether. Best to wait for the updates.
  14. The front is definitely weakening as it moves further NE. Very light snowfall here now and totals not as high as I would have expected.
  15. Don't be greedy, you'll get plenty more in the next 72 hrs !
  16. Really hammering down now. I think we are going to do well here in East Sussex and West Kent because the winds are now swinging Southerly and pushing what's out in the channel towards us too. Radar clearly showing that stuff slightly swinging our way - with deep echos!
  17. We have known for years that the GFS has proven to be unreliable in the long-term and the European models more reliable particularly in wintertime. Personally, I would ignore the GFS past T+72 and stick to the ECM, UKMET etc. Again, what are the chances of this Atlantic incursion occurring? Probably less than 20%.
  18. John Hammond: "The computers are almost unanimous - we're in for the long haul." ......and Piers Corbyn is right yet again!
  19. Amazing to see how this front has developed as it moves east. Last night, as it was just coming into Cornwall, it was quite a narrow band.
  20. METO going for snowfall only including the extreme coastal areas in the eastern half of the country (yellow warning now covering coastal fringes). No chance of rain/sleet in our neck of the woods now due to low dp and air temps, as confirmed by S Murr.
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