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Nimbusman

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Everything posted by Nimbusman

  1. Nimbusman
    Yeah straight northerlies without some oomph are a waste of space unless you live in Norfolk! I actually meant a NEE wind for here is the jackpot direction. As you say seen many 20cm falls from that. Defo something brewing with regards to HLB into the next week. The Siberian high has been meandering with intent
  2. Nimbusman
    Agreed Chris, NNE is the one for us here in Suffolk but anything from N to E wind direction suits Norfolk. Speaking of which the 6z pipes up with an scandi high...
  3. Nimbusman
    Very harsh frost tonight and plenty of freezing fog around too
  4. Nimbusman
    Moving away from the slight disappointment of the short term here locally I’ve been looking mid term again and on the face it’s not looking ovelry cold (defo not mild though), so would be good to hear your thoughts on next week Steve? More HLB to appear as a response to the SSW downwell as we move through into week 2 and the weakening jet pushed further south? Siberian high seems to be excerting it’s presence more and more perhaps edging slightly further westwards into Scandi?
  5. Nimbusman
    Yes Nick if you’re south of London looking potentially excellent further north in the region expect little more than a dusting (sadly trending the wrong way for us in the north east). Outside chance of something Saturday morning...
  6. Nimbusman
    Very good point, it’s never easy in the country is it?! The marginality was the major issue last night with the front arriving quicker than expected, the temps and dew points took much longer to drop to more snow conducive levels over here in the east. As an aside it looks like there could be some very low minima tonight in the region and freezing fog so a real wintry flavour continues!
  7. Nimbusman
    Cheers for the reply. Fingers crossed with the angle of attack being slightly more favourable too. Just saw the charts Nick posted for Thursday and Saturday morning and North Essex and Suffolk are right on the edge of ‘interesting’ I’ve accepted over the many years that an east coast locale in these set up can be difficult to get decent snowfall from. Having said that im still hoping for some positive adjustments in the the next 24 hours!
  8. Nimbusman
    Looks game over for anyone north of M4 then Kold? Sorry haven’t had a chance to check the charts thoroughly this morning yet but I’m sensing this will be nothing more than a dusting for the north and east of region?
  9. Nimbusman
    Very slight dusting here in Ipswich too far east in these set ups despite what some models were projecting. Southern counties and Kent look great again for Thursday but not expecting anything here - geographically hamstrung again! Hopefully there’ll be more chances left this winter but was nice to snow falling after a long long wait!
  10. Nimbusman
    Now properly snowing here in Ipswich, taken a while with temp and dew still dropping!
  11. Nimbusman
    Exactly the same rhetoric from Look East too. Likely to see snow falling but not much settling going off that although the Met office chart from their live cast earlier showed snow from 5pm to midnight over most of the region
  12. Nimbusman
    Going off that live forecast it looks like the Met Office are expecting the transition to snow around nightfall and the front pushing through by midnight
  13. Nimbusman
    Some light snow falling here now with some big flakes mixed in, won’t be much but nice to see the first snow of 2019. Pretty hard frost last night too!
  14. Nimbusman
    Certainly looks like the brisk northerly is on for Sunday according to the GFS 6z ensembles (para agrees.. and some!) and the trough sinking south in the following few days. How far south and east it goes varies and if we get the ridge behind to link to the Siberian high but definitely some more genuine interest now again after the easterly failure last week.
  15. Nimbusman
    Just mentioned this on the BBC forecast too and by the looks of the radar the eastern side of the region could be in on the action soon... pivot!!!
  16. Nimbusman
    Better heights in the Griceland area on this run although nothing major, was expecting the trough to sink through into Europe again... *edit : there you go! Northerly...
  17. Nimbusman
    A second bite of the cherry coming next few frames perhaps? ECM really blows up the low at the southern tip of Greenland between 96h and 120h
  18. Nimbusman
    Decent looking mean by Thursday too (which is where the split in the ensembles occurs) Also how often historically has HLB been modelled to be pushed away very quickly whereas in reality its much harder to shift. The arctic high looks like it gets muscled away too swiftly. My interest remains
  19. Nimbusman
    Agreed Kold. Also flicking through the ensembles still lots of very cold options on the table and some easterlies still hanging in there... perm 16 and 8 not letting it go! Despite the distinct move away in the last 24 hours there's plenty to play for as we go into Feb.
  20. Nimbusman
    Nice orientation of the scandi/Arctic high there!
  21. Nimbusman
    Oh yes, the low exiting the US disrupts, the trough drops and the two highs link up... boom!
  22. Nimbusman
    Yes Steve... what a clonker!! Key here is for the disruption to be kind and push the trough well into Europe and getting those heights setting up over the Barents Sea allowing some deep cold advection. Tasty!
  23. Nimbusman
    I’m liking the the tilt of the scandi high at 192h and all that cold air flooding westwards...
  24. Nimbusman
    Yes I agree, slightly delayed but looks like the core of the high developing at a higher latitude might mean deeper cold advected later? Another option on the table for next week. let’s see how it progresses...
  25. Nimbusman
    Snow showers would be packing into eastern areas on a strengthening easterly breeze, associated uppers looking decent too. Just one run and from within the envelope of cold forecast. Let’s see what the ECM has to say shortly...
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