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  1. Statistics from the past are nice, but you can only use it to look into the past, it doesnt always really give you an objective view. Past results do not offer any future guarantees. If ya had a thousand years of data, it would be a different story. Just keep in mind what Albert Einstein said: Imagination is more important than knowledge. And especially this is one to give a thought: Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take you everywhere.
  2. Not direct SSW related, but a non technical simple explanation why forecastmodels often go wrong : Internal waves. http://www.terradaily.com/reports/The_storm_that_never_was_Why_the_weatherman_is_often_wrong_999.html
  3. Lol, just look at physics, for example, the Young-Laplace equation..if theres only one variable with an error..the value is probably basicly 0
  4. He definitly uses a synthetic glaskügelchen mit sehr großes bereich
  5. The downside of statistic research: Results will be dominated by the input instead of the reality sometimes.
  6. two more animated analyses of ECM1279L90 PV at 400k and 600k isent
  7. And one more added, might be of some value someday ECMWF T1279/L90 Operational analyses
  8. Gravity waves and maybe some rayleigh-taylor instability, to be honest, it is not really somethin uncommon in hydrodynamics.Also look at Richtmyer–Meshkov instability. When i wrote this down i started thinkin....this Richtmyer-Meshkov instability is probably of use to predict the behavior of energy releases.
  9. Already seen it around here i think. Anyhow, interesting stuff
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