Daniel*

Tilt not great at 72hrs going to topple over still colder than GFS:

Dreich, very mild under a thick layer of impenetrable cloud, currently sitting comfortably at 12C although Greenland is penetrable on the GFS with ridging blasting in

Superb WAA shooting polewards, towards Greenland UK locked in an entrenched cold pattern. Systems disrupting nearby lovely.

The first week of March 2013 was mild charts below show winds originating from North Africa. I suppose winds from arctic will pack less a punch, a cold pool to the e/ne can develop quite quickly a remote possibility..well much more likely than a 2012.

Lovely jubbly means tanking -NAO ? 2013 rerun is not out the question is it hyperbolic to say? I do know the month was characterised by cloud and dry conditions for S'England; wet or white for 2016? But this just screams a worthy spell of wintry winter weather developing on the periphery of winter leading into meteorological spring, with cold air being dragged in from N/E. better late than never...

@Snoopie42 I'm thinking rain to snow.

The relevant charts for Tuesday AM a general swathe of snow I hope affecting London, northern Home Counties / N/NW Kent. Mild sector being squeezed out with -5C isotherm tucking into our region with moderate precipitation about. The source of the northerly flow is very cold direct from the pole, at this moment in time I'm only expect accumulations on chilterns ect.

Fergieweather: Snow signal Tues (as alluded to by Nick and others) is now stronger in 00z EC through M4 corridor. I've yet to see UKMO-GM fields. intéressant...

There have been some monsters over the last 12 months. This one being no exception.

A pounding for la Highlands..

Back in grimy London train journey from hell severe delays/backlog into Waterloo an additional 2 hours on the clock from Havant someone got struck by a train at Earlsfield station. ECM has winter arriving with a decent threat of snow. Enjoy this weekend Spring burst as I have a feeling it will be the only Spring like weather you'll see in a while. With MJO going into phase 7/8 good charts like ECM demonstrates does not surprise me.

192 The MJO at decent amplitude finally filtering in IMO into models therefore I feel this is not some sort of false nirvana?

Wednesday will need to be watched closely with a southerly tracking low pressure system engaging with cold air. Bitter Thursday with HLB more abundant on this run I think this is going to turn out to be a 'Stella run'.

Quite frustrating synoptics which don't look bad on the eye sums up this winter; parameters are just not conducive for snowfall, we get the entrails of cold air - which is generally fleeting, more cold rain for Southern England based on this for midweek and I doubt the UKMO would be dissimilar.

Très bien, can UKMO be trusted? I think partially it does toy in with 'extended period of below average temps...' I'd say if it was a month earlier this thread would be an awful lot more busier, the arpege model also sniffing it out!..

Just experiencing snowfall suffices I don't care when it falls ie. November/March. I have set the bar low, how many x hours it lays on the ground does not overly bother me, the strengthening sun has its plus and minuses with convection. It would be nice to just watch a snow event unfold & I tend to think the first bit of March can still be wintry only in mid/late March I'll put my hands up and call it a day. Spring early warmth like 2012? I did not like that, 20c plus days in March doesn't feel right to me.... If anything a cool Spring is beneficial for farmers/gardeners, a early pounce of Spring warmth followed by a hard frost can be very damaging.

Well viewing the radar the frontal precip did not stall thus the 'catch up game' was not possible. An epic fail by the MetO however the uncertainty of that scenario was sky-high all the way through.

Cold rain is growing colder. Brrrr. Non stop rain over the last 11 hours and ongoing. Sleetwatch has commenced (!)

I see no reason being a member on this site allows you 'privileges' you can post where you like on the basis you cooperate in harmony & don't act like a idiot I'm not insinuating Will is one but surely more grown up behaviour is expected. It is very childish after all he is 300m ASL, snow is a frequent visitor in the winter months - to begrudge this region which has heightened snow chances albeit not great, which I got undertones of is somewhat perplexing. Move on from this folks it gives off bad vibes to the thread, which has some ruffled history that can be said, but we must move on.

Bonne nuit....

If sleet is being reported at 2000 by my trusty dad in considered inhospitable parameters - this suggests to me snowfall may be more widespread than imagined into small hours.

On the phone to my dad and he's reporting a rain/snow mix back in Rotherhithe.

The yellow snow warning northern Home Counties & much of East Anglia unfortunately for you the cold air undercuts in when there is no precipitation for you - in aspects you're incorrect.

Good luck guys.... the precip has perked up to the west of London the heavier the precip the more the freezing level will fall. It started raining here half 1 oscillating between light & moderate rain, temperature is holding too high down here for anything resembling snow, back at home I wouldn't be surprised in the small hours with heavy rain forecasted and the temperature roughly 3C for some snow to fall I reckon a fair few will see a brief covering above 100 asl.

Rain knocking at the door.