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Daniel* last won the day on January 29 2018

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About Daniel*

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    Rotherhithe, 5.8M ASL

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  1. How do you know? At this stage all we know is that it belongs to Coronavirus family and there is human to human transmission. However, it is right screening may be ineffective presenting no symptoms on point of entry. Personally I think this is much worse than what we are lead to believe. Why would China effectively shut down a city the population of London, you know what they are like with their economy. There has been a confirmed case in Brazil, and Mexico has a case unconfirmed this has rapidly spread globally. Inevitable it will come to Europe.
  2. There is “support” for +ve heights in that region a Canadian warming. NAO trending less positive...
  3. Second coldest night of the winter here in inner London -0.7C a strong frost. Lovely winter’s morning.
  4. A frost wow! -0.2C the last was on 3rd December, finally feeling more like winter -0.1C right now.
  5. Mr freeze visiting -6C brrrrr! Got down to 0.9 this morning not quite managing an air first no problem tonight.
  6. I signed up to this forum 7 years ago we was gripped by wintry weather and in that time ignoring BFTE which only lasted 5 days no extended cold, there has been no prolonged cold spell or real cold since. It is really dawning on me how rubbish it has been for extended period of time. Something needs to change in 2020s.

    1. Show previous comments  4 more
    2. lassie23


      a visit for extinction rebellion awaits

    3. Katrine Basso

      Katrine Basso

      Being an island does not help our chances and where we are.  The British Isles and Ireland would have to be pushed further away from the European continent and be pushed further north, nearby Iceland.

      Or the following conditions will greatly improve our chances:

      The Icelandic volcanoes need to erupt all at once.

      There needs to be a very early and intense sudden stratospheric warming event taken place in early November. It has to be strong enough to obliterate the polar vortex winds.

      There needs to be 31 foggy days or nights and 31 frosty or nights in October.

      There has to be intense Northern blocking over Scandinavia.

      There has to a weak El Nino event.

      We need to be in an easterly Quasi biennial oscillation.

      There needs to have been a strong Atlantic hurricane season.

      The North Pacific waters between Alaska and Russia need to be much colder and that the cold water will need to spread throughout the whole of the North Pacific ocean. It would help if there were sea ice covering the North Pacific.

      There needs to be a North Atlantic tripod in May.

      There needs to a very rapid progress of snow cover in November that fills the whole of Scandinavia and Russia by the first or second week of  November and keep on increasing throughout the month of November into Eastern Europe.

      The jet stream should be go far south to the Mediterranean Sea/North Africa.

      We also need to be going out of Solar minimum.



    4. Katrine Basso

      Katrine Basso

      Better still there should be sea ice from Northern Iceland to Southern Denmark.

  7. That naughty polar vortex is going to be largely displaced to Eurasia in coming days what does that mean? Well mid Atlantic blocking will be under less fire. The strong vortex could assist with cold trough sinking into Europe with unusually cold air to tap into, we will see what happens but I’d say N/NW cold snap likely. How cold? And for how long? Probably not for long. What is clear there is some very cold air available potential for something more than standard.
  8. They really haven’t for many weeks we have had no eye candy. The potent northerly we may see likely not lasting long doesn’t rely on HLB for wintry conditions, we are at the time of year when it doesn’t take something extraordinary. As we witnessed late Jan last year, shades of that in output. Deep cold trough!
  9. Wow this is going to see beastly cold descend, it has been many years since anything alike 60s were infamous for potent northerly airstreams.
  10. Nope it’s not tomorrow it will be 6 days out the trend is colder across models related to changes in strat. Begs the question we could see a very potent northerly.
  11. The arctic is set to turn much colder from Barents Sea to Pacific ‘gateway’. This cold looks to entrench and I foresee it doing wonders, you would expect Barents Sea to freeze 100%, exceptional cold being modelled over northern Russia as PV transfers over, no normal winter a recovery of sorts?
  12. 12C at this hour what is going on! Although it does seem squall line advancing with cold front.
  13. It’s generally below average and very frosty, here is for London City Airport over next 10 days on 12z ECM not dramatic but colder than anything we have seen this “winter”.
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