- Popular Post
Daniel*
-
Posts
12,184 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
8
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Daniel*
-
-
Even this weekend has downgraded, it looks rather cold for most as NE’ly is introduced. Warm in west of Ireland closest to ridge.
-
2
-
-
2 minutes ago, Frigid said:
A remarkable switch to something cooler, this would've been a notable cold spell in winter. I wonder what triggered this response..
Still seeing drips of SSW which occurred earlier in March this could be what’s responsible, it was a significant event so of course has potential for extended influence. I don’t believe it’s result of MJO that’s been in COD. Perhaps weakening El Niño also a factor nothing we could get on side during winter remained strong.
-
1
-
1
-
-
“Slightly below normal” involves 5C even 6C below average T850s. A long time since I’ve seen such a deviation below.
-
5
-
1
-
-
25 minutes ago, WYorksWeather said:
It all depends on the averaging used
Well the data suggest otherwise also signalled below on 1961-1990, below is Birmingham next week looks even cooler than this week, you must also consider the average for further in April is warmer, so using overall mean is not wise.
-
5
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
4 hours ago, Frigid said:Mild days in the mid to high teens likely.
It seems some are in denial. The mean for Manchester has highs barely in double figures for most part. It’s certainly a cool outlook with winds frequently coming from northerly direction with cool air aloft. A bit milder this weekend with high covering UK briefly, then it looks to re-centre further NW. it’s a very poor outlook if you’re looking for warmth. If only if it was winter comes to mind.
-
17
-
2
-
These are quite cool my prediction we fall within 0.5C of 1991-2020 normal. I can’t see this month finishing remotely exceptional rather ordinary overall.
-
2 hours ago, Derecho said:
Scorcher Yup I certainly wouldn't call it a spectacular change by any means.
If you could read correctly I was not making comment for UK… in Central Europe highs will collapse from 30C to 10C in a matter of a few days. The change is considerable but of course it begins from a very elevated position.
-
3
-
-
33 minutes ago, Derecho said:
The EC keeps the coldest air further east whilst the GFS briefly turns showery from the north at times but is a settled run all in all.
It’s still chilly the EPS is resolute on a spell of below average temperatures which centres on Central Europe the strongest and most persistent since January. After a record warm first half in continental Europe this is a spectacular change.
-
4
-
-
52 minutes ago, The PIT said:
wouldn't put too much faith in the projection of cooler weather this has come a lot over the last few months and then quickly disappeared into more prolonged mild weather. If a cool spell comes off the milder spell that followed as strong enough to offset easily.
nonsense this benign/cooler spell is confirmed beginning shortly. Not unusual for April.
-
2
-
-
13 hours ago, CryoraptorA303 said:
The most recent seasonals are suggesting patterns consistent with the hottest summers on record
Are they? Majority develop La Niña over summer. CFS particularly strong with it. More wishcasting from yourself.
also new
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, BlueSkies_do_I_see said:
One thing moving forward that is certain. We will see heat records broken almost every year. We've already seen a heat record in Jan (19.9C), Feb come within 0.1C of the record CET, and numerous date records set since, including yesterday's highest Min CET.
It’s quite normal to break daily records in an individual year they’re not particularly noteworthy well nothing compared to monthly record or all-time. We can’t forget we are seeing influence of strong El Niño, this increased global heating accelerates the number of warm records. 2025 is expected to be cooler than 2023 and 2024, so whilst UK might not see less records on balance it should evidently around Earth there will be less but of course still well outweighing cold.
-
1
-
-
3 hours ago, danm said:
for London, the 1991-2020 period was 10% sunnier than 1961-1990, but only 3% wetter.
Yes but some months increase is significant for example February… 30.2% increase on 1961-1990! Really significant it used to be our driest month up to 1981-2010 now it’s third driest.
I produced this graph 1948-2023… 2024 was another very wet February with 85mm.
-
14 minutes ago, Augusta Snow said:
wouldn’t say very wrong in my exact location which is what I said.
Are you looking at map? Your location has not been drier than average. You live in a dry part of world.
-
8 minutes ago, Augusta Snow said:
SollyOlly I would say it’s only been the last 12 months that has been extremely wet. Before that here at least was dryer than normal for the 5 previous years at least. I do agree about the cooler periods becoming less.
very wrong
-
1
-
-
Record warm air mass and we haven’t even scraped 20C in London
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, WYorksWeather said:
It's also the earliest in the year I think I've seen a feels like temperature higher than the actual
Where do you see that? Met Office has a 19C high in London but feel like temperature of 15C. The gusty breeze will make it feel cooler, I can’t see it feeling warmer.
-
Remarkable coldest night in almost 70 years in Sweden.
-
2
-
-
1 minute ago, SunnyG said:
beginning of September was still summer, technically...
Well it’s not that’s not meteorological autumn, it was first summer since 2008 where either July or August failed to reach 30c in London.
-
9 hours ago, Wimbledon88 said:
Well at least us Londoners will be guaranteed a few blazing hot weeks during the summer. Only around the corner.,
I must have missed that last summer
-
8.8c and 89mm thanks, El Niño April’s tend to feature some colder N winds let’s see..
-
No, there’s not.
-
On 28/03/2024 at 10:55, kold weather said:
I'm pretty sure had this place been around in Mar 95 similar topics would have come up. We ended up having a classic summer that year.
Not sure about that March 1995 was sunniest on record at Heathrow a sign of things to come.
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
EPS is very unsettled into April potentially wettest weather at this time of year since 2012.
London
Plymouth
Unbelievably rainy the past 18 months and for now it continues on and on…
-
10
-
2 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:
cold and snow stinks at this time of the year ..i just want winter to be over
Your choice being in Canada
-
2
-
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Daniel*
If you’re talking to me at least @ me thanks. In what way I have done that? All I’m saying temperatures are indicated to be well below average for late April, no one has mention snow and freezing temperatures and what can be expected at this time of year. You said about me being antagonistic, I think you should look at yourself, all you do is purposely try to undermine messaging, if anything cool is mentioned, it’s a repeated pattern from you. It’s as if it upsets you personally, I find it very odd it is just the weather.