Essexfish

Winds are still predominantly North East. Need more of an Easterly feed for them to be pushed in land. This should happen over night and into tomorrow as todays low slips away to the south.

Intensity picked up just a tad in Stanway, Colchester.

In a winter of many transient events, 3-4 days would be good. But calling it a 3-4 day cold snap, 3-4 days out from it beginning is somewhat puzzling.

Snow mix in Stanway, Essex

Wet snow in Stanway, South Colchester

Heavy cold rain for the week ahead with a strong cold wind. Lovely.

SSW taking place now. Split of Vortex looks likely. Beast from the East is one of many possibilities but definitely not a certainty at this range.

Specifically mentions what the models are picking up and explains why next week is likely to be cold and wet rather than cold and white.

Great explanation of why next week is likely to be cold and wet rather than cold and white.

BBC Lunchtime weather having none of it for Easterly going into the weekend. Cold rain and temps of 6-7 by day into the first week of Jan. Model output suggests otherwise but it does look marginal to say the least.

Happy Polar Vortex Split Day. Surely the hunt for cold should be focussed on the next two-three weeks from now?

Ok, fair enough. Lets see where we are at this time next week I guess. Pub run first though.

I can see your point but can also remember many occasions when models have struggled much beyond day 4.

May explain the flip flopping in the models right now. Polar Vortex is in the process of splitting but is yet to split...

Thankfully it is only November...