Spah1

Pembroke Dangler If it does end up in the channel UKV will be 300 miles out only 100 hrs away.

I’m getting a little tired of reading lazy analysis. Probably since around 2013 and various wedge events folks on here throw out ‘it will get corrected South’ whenever we have a low pressure system hitting colder air. I’m no expert but it seems to me that these systems do get corrected South but only when the models underestimate the block or wedge the low pressure system is disrupting against. In Thursdays scenario I can’t see a wedge pushing the LP South that the models are underestimating. Someone with way more knowledge than me may correct me but that’s how I see it.

MJB Confidence increases into the middle of Feb

syed2878 What about the high pressure in the Atlantic in week 2 and 3 giving us cold weather? Gowon I can’t see it.

UKMO 168hrs Nothing happening atm. Really hoping for some charts to chase especially as Feb week 2 is half term.

@TEITS I can’t see it. You’ll have to get the crayons out and educate us amateurs

Bored of this Winter now. 1/10. Expectations in December are always falsely high that this year will be different but alas no big freeze just wind and rain.

Just had a proper look outside. Looks like a mix of hail, ice pellets and snow

Can’t believe this is actually rain !!!!!

Can’t see anything more than this. Nothing coming in behind.

I can’t see more than a dusting for the lucky few. If I see falling snow again and get a dusting I’ll be happy.

GFS day 11ish. GEM Day 10.

Thursdays warning removed which is a little disappointing

What a waste. Close to a monumental snow event

If only it was a bit colder

Chucking down

oh no The ECM day 10 is interested in a scandi high too.

Chris and the Met Office v Kasim. Doesn’t look much to me on the models.

Using the UKV I can’t really see why there is a warning for Thursday evening. Looks a bit sparse. Maybe the odd shower.

I’ve had my little fix the Southerners can have their Easterly. Only 12 days away.

This morning Now

rapid thaw ongoing

roll on Thursday

Keep me informed Pip. Must be marginal

its going to move south east