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Djdazzle

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Everything posted by Djdazzle

  1. Djdazzle
    I think cloud predictions are almost as poor as the precipitation predictions!
  2. Djdazzle
    Ir will likely be GFS being correct as the model showing the worst outcome is usually correct. That’s the way it seems to go more often than not in the UK! Let’s see what ECM says later.
  3. Djdazzle
    I suppose in high summer, a lot of us are looking for the maximum impact in terms of high temperatures. It's quite unbelievable that we haven't reached 30C by this point - that is a real shock.
  4. Djdazzle
    Hasn't happened yet!
  5. Djdazzle
    If that were true, I'd agree with you.
  6. Djdazzle
    So another shot at a good few days of hot weather is taken away. We just don't seem to be able to get a decent break this summer.
  7. Djdazzle
    What ate you basing that on?
  8. Djdazzle
    I agree with that - we all look beyond 144, but usually just for fun!
  9. Djdazzle
    Well FI is 144 in most people’s definition. And even 144 is pushing it sometimes!
  10. Djdazzle
    Probably a hot outlier though.
  11. Djdazzle
    True - but little different to the last two summers. At least they produced some hot spells, and I’m hoping this one does the same (although I’m sure you won’t! )
  12. Djdazzle
    Don’t take this as a dig because it certainly isn’t! You were fairly confident that the first part of July would be fine a couple of weeks ago. I hope you’re right this time mate!
  13. Djdazzle
    August will be a hot month then - I'm starting to doubt the validity of any long term signals this summer. We keep getting dangled with promising anomaly charts in the 10-14 day range, but that's where they have stayed for the past three weeks. As long as one of the big three shows unsettled, that is what it will be it seems.
  14. Djdazzle
    UKMO looks good going forward. GFS 12z is so different to the 6z, I'm not convinced!
  15. Djdazzle
    Not supported by the anomalies though.
  16. Djdazzle
    Well at least it can’t get worse than this. The 12z will be better, only for that reason. These charts make 2007 look pleasant.
  17. Djdazzle
    Just catching up. I saw Tamara’s post earlier - is the gist of it that we should pretty much ignore the operationals?
  18. Djdazzle
    Finally, after days of dross, the ECM provides some promise!
  19. Djdazzle
    Some adjustment!
  20. Djdazzle
    Again - the complete opposite of the anomalies.
  21. Djdazzle
    If it was winter, you just know that the uppers would be rubbish and it would still be rain.
  22. Djdazzle
    Totally not supported by the anomalies though. They are strongly indicating high pressure in the medium term.
  23. Djdazzle
    I’m fast getting to the point where I’m not even looking at ECM.
  24. Djdazzle
    The UKMO has been little better. Atrocious consistency!
  25. Djdazzle
    It would - but caution is advised!
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