jesusfernandez
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Everything posted by jesusfernandez
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North West England Weather Discussion 14/11/15 Onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Liam J's topic in Regional
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Model Output Discussion - Stormy Period Inbound...
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I always look at the charts and see how the rain that enters through the NW over wigan and liverpool go as far as runcorn... maybe up to crewe and then stops and when the rain comes from any other direction is like there is a blocking just on this area of merseyside then when charts (GFS 0.5° HR) show snow around this area, it never gets to penetrate to this channel, looks like if there is some sor of blockeage on top of me! LOL http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/precipitations/102h.htm http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/precipitations/78h.htm http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/precipitations/120h.htm http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/royaume-uni/precipitations/27h.htm I know it might be off topic... does anyone here have ever seen this or are there any explenation for this?? Im starting to think that clouds, rain and snow want to avoid me! (NO SCIENTIFIC REFERENCES what so ever IMO) I've been looking charts for quite a long time but never fully understood whats behind... just the colors and legend thanks!!!! -
Model Output Discussion - Stormy Period Inbound...
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi there!! I know it might be off topic but... could you explain why?? would be good for us newbies -
Model Output Discussion; into 2015
jesusfernandez replied to martthefart's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi all! Nice models after the 5th of jan for cold but I am very new with this charts so I would like to ask... what model predicted or got closer (long range or mid range) the cold event that we had on boxing day??? I would like to see if it can do the same over the next 2nd half of january. which would you guys say is the best models to watch out? I always look GFS and EcM together with UKMO but Id like to know your opinion for these cold events, models tend to exagerate or under-rate certain patterns and I dont think there is just one that does the good work but would be good to know which is good for what.. (not sure if this is off toping... if it is, sorry! ) I know that its difficultbecause they are in FI but a week before this recent cold event we were 14 degrees in warrington... anything can happen, no? thanks to all!!! I love the thread! -
Boxing Day Snow Event Thoughts And Reports.
jesusfernandez replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I have Ghost rain here in St helens... the radar show green just on top of my postcode and no one drop is falling! -
Model output discussion 25th Jan onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
what are the chances of this?? -
Model Output Discussion 17th Dec.2013-12z onwards.
jesusfernandez replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
nice! and only 21hr to go -
Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Winter 2013/14
jesusfernandez replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
yeah this is why weather forecaster is a degree and career of many years XD -
Model Output Discussion 4th Dec.2013-12z onwards.
jesusfernandez replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Guys I dont know where are you seen all of that stuff... when I look at the GFS and the ECM I always can see amazing stuff after +96hr and then deeply in FI and it never happens.... we seem to be chasing a ghost that will never come How reliable are the models passed +72hrs?? it doesnt seen to be working very well (for last week, all models were giving snow in the liverpool - Manchester area and we had nothing at all...) -
Model Output Discussion - 30th November onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nice explanation Tamara, so basically... after next weekend get the barbecue out and the sun-cream :) -
Model Output Discussion - 17th Oct Onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/19115-gfs-2-150/ Lovely that for Liverpool/Runcorn área if that would it really come around What a shame that is so far on FI I would enjoy that XD -
From the album: charts
sunday rain -
Possible severe storm Monday 28th October 2013 Part 3
jesusfernandez replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Why can I see rain in the radar and no drops are falling? :O GHOST rain!! -
Possible severe storm Monday 28th October 2013 Part 3
jesusfernandez replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
indeed over here we have completely static trees... no wind at all, it doesnt feel like there is anything going on... Im in runcorn although Im looking at NE from my window so I wont see it coming. -
Possible severe storm Monday 28th October 2013 Part 3
jesusfernandez replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
looking all of those mph gusts and I am in runcorn and it seems like there isnt anything that could indicate all of that to come... Does anyone know how will the situation be tomorrow around 8 in the morning between runcorn and warrington?? (M62) -
Possible severe storm Monday 28th October 2013 Part 3
jesusfernandez replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I am in warrington... probably the safest place or this storm as that wind chart suggest -
Model Output Discussion - 17th Oct Onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
you can use sat24.com or the netwheather rain radar to know where is the action and the lightning rada -
Model Output Discussion - 17th Oct Onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
uff... quite scary no? XD loving that ECM.. its a non stop -
Model Output Discussion - 17th Oct Onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Does this not sound like too much speculation?? -
Model Output Discussion - 17th Oct Onwards
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi there guys... I am reading comments and I am thinking... looks like the armageddon is been predicted! what is it exactly what you can see that will be so extreme and special? I though that anything over +72hr is no enough accurate to make any predictions (FI) Sorry if you may cover your eyes when reading this XD Im a bit amateur on this although I love to learn :) -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
jesusfernandez replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I know it might be off topic but, after all this heat over the past month or so... Does anyone has an idea of what the winter will bring us? will it be a warm winter or will it change radically to a very cold one... looks like the heat has no end a -
Model Output Discussion 00z 19/07/13
jesusfernandez replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Sorry for the offtopic but... what does that means?? what is j/kg ? and what does that chart measures? sorry... -
Model Output Discussion 00z 19/07/13
jesusfernandez replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Love that phrase ! can I use it in my signature?? -
Model Output Discussion - Heading Away From Easter
jesusfernandez replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion