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wiltshire weather

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About wiltshire weather

  • Rank
    Winter NW Radar Junkie

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Marlborough, North East Wiltshire 136M ASL
  • Weather Preferences
    Cold and snow in the winter, warm and dry in the summer !

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  1. I wouldn't be surprised to see all that snow to the NW of us gradually pull down to the S/SE so may not be quite over just yet!
  2. Dont really understand the Meto amber warning currently. Heaviest snow risk seems to be to the west between Newbury and Bristol.
  3. Still bone dry up here in the far NE of our region, unfortunately. Looks to be headed our way still but sure is slow going!
  4. It performed pretty well last year during The Beast as I recall. Will be interesting to see if it does well for this event as it keeps the snow going in my location for most of the day tomorrow as well! Interestingly it matches the forecast on my Meto weather app almost exactly!!
  5. Looking at the latest HIRLAM run, it seems to have it about right for the current time: Assuming it continues to be about right, this is what should be on the ground tomorrow morning:
  6. Doesn't look like it's pivoting yet to me if you run the radar sequence. Just heading steadily in a NE direction. I guess you should be able to see when it starts pivoting as the precipitation in the Irish Sea will start travelling south-westwards/south which it isn't doing yet.
  7. Just checking the Arpege which looked great earlier.... ....has shunted everything north, not what we want to see! Seems to be a trend this evening in the models (moving things north) but hopefully will trend back south in the morning!!
  8. Definitely not a done deal yet by the look of it as to where will see snow and where will not!
  9. The latest Arpege run for Thursday is amazing if it comes off! Heavy snow from late afternoon all the way through to Friday morning for quite a bit of our region: Accumulated snow from now until 0700 Friday:
  10. According to the Hirlam model run at 6am, there should be quite a lot of snow falling from the showers later on over the West Country. Accumulated snow totals at 1300 tomorrow:
  11. A soggy good morning all. Hopefully this rain will clear up somewhen today. No sleet/snow here, looks from the radar that's mostly over Wales and North of Oxford. Maybe some over the Moors. Just had a quick flick through the models and there is still no agreement on the track of low pressure over the weekend and as a consequence, what temperatures/weather type we will get. Maybe the 12z runs will finally agree but for now I'll stick with the analysis i did yesterday I think!
  12. So the chopping and changing of the models continues today with varying solutions over the next few days. Still, a likelihood of some wintriness tomorrow, probably sleet and wet snow for many as shown on the NW short range model: I note though that our favourite short ranger of late, the HIRLAM doesn't show any snow at all for our region. As for the Easter weekend, with low pressure either over the SW or nearby, Friday/Saturday is likely to be wet, breezy and pretty miserable. I wouldn't be surprised to see some wintriness as temps are going to be below average. Sunday looks like we might be in between two LP systems so maybe the dryer day, Monday sees another LP moving in with more wet weather, could be some more wintriness as temperatures have dropped away Sunday night. As for the following week, seems as though the models are sniffing out a colder pattern again with a northerly setting up for a few days. The GFS 6z has flipped to this from a milder solution and the overnight ECM hinted at this I think. Cold enough for some more widespread snow it seems as well:
  13. So, even now there's still uncertainty regarding this week (from Weds onwards). With the way it's trending, I'm still not going to put my hat, scarf and gloves away just yet!
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