Jump to content

rory o gorman

  • Content Count

  • Joined

  • Last visited

Community Reputation

269 Excellent


About rory o gorman

  • Rank
    Process control Engineer : Industrial Physicist

Profile Information

  • Gender
  • Location
    cork Ireland 80m ASL
  • Interests
    severe weather, , synoptic patterns , mathematical modeling
  • Weather Preferences
    severe weather, tornadoes,intersting synopsis ,snow

Contact Methods

Recent Profile Visitors

2,375 profile views
  1. Ha that was its starting , Its getting a bit heavier now in bursts. Waiting on the cold pool to eject properly tonight
  2. light grapel/snow falling here on the south coast now. video-1519647553.mp4
  3. Good to see the UKMO following a certain private UK model, and yes I know people before you ask
  4. Yes certainly more shades of jan 1987 a short intense cold spell that was. Also note the wind direction E or ESE as opposed to ENE for 2010. That makes a huge difference to me on the south coast for a celtic streamer or people living far up the east coast where a NE flow shortens the sea track a lot reducing totals.
  5. Yes totally, but interesting to see what the depths its showing here in the south.
  6. Easterly flow tends to form streamers due to the winds crossing the landmass of England which causes convergence of winds doesn't happen in westerlies. As you can see on the map I provided one north of the isle of man and one south , (isle of man causes divergence) and one along the extreme south coast .Snow levels quickly build up with often falling up to 3 cm per hour in the strongest convection.
  7. here is the ECM snowfall totals in inchs. A few strange posts regarding convection potential What is the issue? . For the eastern coastal counties and along the south coast it is exetmely likely. -35c at 500hpa , -12/-14 850hpa , SST's at 8/9c and strong east flow in sfc of pressure 1024 mb with the 501 DAM touching the east coast 1987 levels right there.
  8. Roche's point here on the south coast experienced record 12 cm of snow in 1987 from a snow streamer . It the gfs/ukmo comes off I feel that the record may go. Exceptional charts!
  9. We do not want a shortwave forming in the north sea . Firstly It prevents the cold air advection lifts heights and secondly will mix out the colder uppers and although it fine for snow on this run ,the seasoned campaigners on here have seen this before. Clean and aggressive this run or the last are not.
  10. 0 /15 c spread will be quite interesting to see the the results of LCL ect .Forecast Soundings will come into reach soon certainly worth a look over.
  • Create New...