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Yarmy

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Everything posted by Yarmy

  1. Yarmy
    Wash streamer here: Might be marginal IMBY, but should be snow further inland.
  2. Yarmy
    Obviously attention is focused further out, but there still could be a few little bonus surprises at selected spots in the east on xmas morning:
  3. Yarmy
    Promising output, but as seasoned members know all too well, if there’s a way for Blighty to avoid cold it’ll find it. Nonetheless, we appear to be some distance from the Glosea horror show forecasts of November. Anyway, the split energy of the 2 depressions over the CONUS on the Tuesday 12z ECM has reappeared miraculously:
  4. Yarmy
    Feels like the key to the 192-240 evolution is the clean separation of the energy over the CONUS in the 168-192 period. If the depression over the Midwest phases with the depression over Newfoundland then it would be curtains.
  5. Yarmy
    And the temperature's going up and up.
  6. Yarmy
    Still struggling to break 0C here, as have the past couple of days. Judging by the weather station reports, West Norfolk is the coldest spot in the UK outside the Scottish Highlands.
  7. Yarmy
    Might squeak out an ice day. Still -2C at Marham, and no sign of the fog lifting.
  8. Yarmy
    It's now been snowing here for 4 hours non-stop.
  9. Yarmy
    Yep. Think that was also the time of 'THAT ECM'.
  10. Yarmy
    After overnight rain, it is now snowing heavily here. At sea level, on the coast.
  11. Yarmy
    Just to emphasise these early upstream differences, if you reside in New England and follow the GFS then Sunday morning is largely uneventful: But, if you follow the ECM, it's time to batten down the hatches:
  12. Yarmy
    This is what we have forecast at T330: This is an SSW: Besides, an SSW doesn't guarantee snow here anyway. If it did, we'd be buried every couple of years or so.
  13. Yarmy
    Not anymore (apart from weather warnings, I think?). They put the services out to tender a year or so back, and awarded the contract to Meteogroup who promised they could give them hourly forecasts at 16 days out.
  14. Yarmy
    -40C in Ely. Brrrrrr.
  15. Yarmy
    Heavy fog here now. +2.5C.
  16. Yarmy
    Yep. Very early days though.
  17. Yarmy
    Quite. Best one I ever had was when the rest of the family were watching X-Factor.
  18. Yarmy
    Who remembers the Chinese model that used to roll out so slowly the actual weather arrived first? It was still wrong.
  19. Yarmy
    Don't know what everyone's worried about. Looks alright to me:
  20. Yarmy
    Surprised no-one has mentioned this morning's latter stage ECM which has switched to a -AO from yesterday's output: Comparing T216 from this morning's run: ...with yesterday's 0z T240:
  21. Yarmy
    Get to see the New Year in twice if you live close to the border. Assuming Boris hasn't closed it by then.
  22. Yarmy
    Hurray for climate change! On the one hand there's the worldwide ecological catastrophe, but on the other we could get a very mild January.
  23. Yarmy
    There was actually a brief spot that lasted a few hours on the 14th September that was counted by SIDC - but not Boulder - so breaking the streak in terms of their count. You can view it here: https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/aiahmi/
  24. Yarmy
    Ham radio enthusiasts favour an active sun too, as it aids their hobby.
  25. Yarmy
    I haven't, but apparently it's not as rare as thought. There's a good explanation of why it happens in this book: https://www.amazon.co.uk/Clouds-Glass-Beer-Simple-Bohren/dp/0486417387
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