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Yarmy

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Everything posted by Yarmy

  1. While the selected GEFS members above are probably too extreme, the trend towards greater amplification into Greenland and an increasingly negative AO can be seen on the ECM 0z mean for the past 3 days: 13th Oct T240 14th Oct T216 15th Oct T192 The height profile over Western Europe is largely unchanged though.
  2. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    Bulgaria are abysmal, San Marino-bad. I can remember when they were good.
  3. Well, not really, and in fact he kinds of mocks people who are extrapolating the current pattern to winter in the last tweet. The tweets are just about what will likely happen in the next few weeks (mild zonality), and nothing beyond that.
  4. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    Yeah, that was poor. Defence really looks a mess.
  5. GloSea5 looked reasonable for the Atlantic sector, at least. The October update for DJF could be prosecuted under the obscene publications act:
  6. September's NAO came in (marginally) negative at -0.16 https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/teleconnections/nao/ For what it's worth, that's 5 months in a row of -NAO, in contrast to just 2 of the previous 19. October looks like it could be negative too, although still early and I've probably just jinxed it. We had 16 (count 'em) months in a row of -NAO around the 2009/2010 period. Solar signal or just a stochastic process?
  7. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    It's crazy, isn't it. Any other job you'd be sacked or at least suspended for gross misconduct. They weren't just drink-driving; they crashed and nearly killed a colleague.
  8. Tom Lawrence starting and Mason Bennet in the squad for Derby tonight. Incredible. Football, eh.
  9. Yes, an absolute beast: Fortunately, it stalls and fills out mid-Atlantic otherwise it would be a headline maker.
  10. Carl Froch thinks the Earth is flat. Too many blows to the head, alas.
  11. Surprised that Olly Stone has been left out, although I'm a bit biased. I guess he's just perpetually injured. That said, Saqib Mahmood has looked promising in a couple of T20 games I've watched.
  12. Depends on your locale. Here in the far east, it's been parched for months on end. I've mowed my lawn twice this year. Twice.
  13. The SILSO series goes back hundreds of years, but not all the way to the Maunder min: http://sidc.oma.be/silso/datafiles
  14. Looking forward to this. All-Blacks odds on for the tournament, but Australia look decent value at 16 to 1 or thereabouts. Apropos of nothing, but Scotland's scrum half Ali Price is from King's Lynn and used to open the batting for my lad's cricket club.
  15. Christ almighty, we have almost the entire first team squad out injured for tomorrow. Literally no central defenders: Klose, Zimmerman, Godfrey and Hanley all out. Ridiculous. Never mind, it's only Man City. I suppose the positive spin is that they might as well all be out for a game we have no chance in anyway.
  16. The indices are here: https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/teleconnections/nao/ ...and just picking a few days for July... Looks about right to me?
  17. The past 4 months (May-Aug) have all had a -NAO, but past performance is not indicative of future results. Only 2 of the 19 months prior to that had a negative NAO.
  18. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    Southgate seems to have a blind spot about Maddison. Whenever he comments on him, it's in negative terms ("has a lot to learn"). There's no other reason for picking a Chelsea sub and a lad who did ok for Derby in the Championship last year over the statistically most effective midfielder in Europe. It's almost like he's pressured into putting him into the squad, but doesn't want to play him.
  19. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    When was the last time England conceded 3 at home?
  20. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    Like an Under 9s game.
  21. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    Yes, this could be any score. Last one looked a bit offside.
  22. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    Only been going since 2016. Anyway, nice finish, lol.
  23. Yarmy

    Euro 2020

    They've beaten Bulgaria and the Czech Republic in their last 2 games. Also unbeaten in 2 years.
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