tight isobar

That was the nomination @that point. And by now we know this winter will be earmarked-for its pure unpredictability, and headache forecasting!!!! Via ssw..and miss figured downwelling!!

Just spotted this little lot ready to leave.. @winters over @mild crew

Nice. For any of you tweet/twitter fans.. Well worth popping on to micheal ventrice site..for hes latest tweet!!! @-NAO.. its all falling into place now.... And so it should!! @backloaded @i'll keep this drum banging!!

look 4 the push back..On upcoming outs...

No word of warning needed pal.. No1 has said what will happen..(exactly). Thats just a basic miss -interp that is a common feature(no pun intended) on here.. A syphon of lower uppers is already my favour mixing and diggin in.. And the south/south central belt..are again in the equation.. But as again..lets study the gradients. As we gain .

Agree somewhat.. And i find myself saying AGAIN- given the above state..and microscale dynamics..a southerly routs is all but impossible to avoid...lol.. Some drama on here AWAITS!!!

Last 1 on this.. You'll also notice across the board most-if not all have been incorrect on a seasonal scale.. Via ssw and structual downwelling.. I have my own thoughts in this..@strat expansion- miss forming tropospheric resoponces @coupling.. But i'll save that for the very end of winter.... That has a long way 2 run yet !!!!

We'll have a little go @ tracking and grade of the weekend feature 2 start. And your more than welcome to save-shot, my analysis as we near... Then flag bk up mon-the out. Then also feel free to note my ever longer term analysis... And opt-2 shout up that also.. Regards....

Easy answer 2 your question. Study-experience-decipher! As i said previously 2 another member on the last snow event...... That came to fruition. And perhaps even more notable than deciphered. Im not here 2 score points and get back patted...just to wack my analysis/points/exactions noted!!!

Again some clever wording from the met. If you look a little deeper at there transcript...its open for a flip to cold @anytime in the nxt 7 day..onwards...clearly they are of a little confused themselves as atm we all are. Imo a cold late feb is still highly favoured. Lets watch-it all unfold!

Am i on another planet???. The met...the models...ourselves.. Remain open to almost anything running to the end of feb.. And the met sitting firmly on the fence..and are clever in there wording in that regard- ie cold/mild. Everything from a notable spell..to reasonably mild... It all depends on skill and interp now... Some that i have read regarding all above...would have us all sunbathing with a shrimp on the barbie....DEFINATLY NOT THE CASE!!!!

Toasty..and nearly 2 weeks away!!..on the whole. Lets see what the 6z gfs op and supports say.. In ref to this ooz suite also!!! @eps

Chanel low making eyes at parts lower northern england wales/midlands... But as again will need an eye on it. But interesting nonetheless.

Preety rock solid @support. Any1 whom has backed the mid/late winter inferno-and punted game over... Needs to revert to the bookie and ask 4 a refund imo-and claim a NON RUNNER!! @inferno/extreme end of the scale!!!!

Ends on a good note too. Both through the euro window-and nor-hemisphericaly as a whole. Get those heights aligned further north and winter certainly bounces bk... The winter story of 2019....is far from over!

Ecm 00z takes another step-in the correct/direct... Heights certainly of gain run 2 run..

Them @the express viewing the e-mail Now which 1 will it be ??????

Perhaps "gav" has overlooked the short/medium term..b4 decipher any latter notions!!??.. With operationals also taking a swipe towards there ens...!!! Sometimes i really wonder!!!.. t850London.webp ecm gfs

Me 4 one am happy with this evenings outs...lots of water to flow..and steps (however small in the correct-direct).. This chart could look quite different in nxt 1/3 days.. As the angle-align of height placement begins resolve. And even 4 once with large lobe forcing of aid!!! And- a reasonable pool out east.... We are cranking slowly!

^^indeed and at present its getting there. Lets not 4get the ecm 12z is NOT the only raw teasing with a similar prog/evolution.. Hence-needs eyeing!!!!

Of course i noted/viewed those overheads... but as a seasond nw-member i assume you know that the overall evo is king...and those uppers wobbly at that range...thus @tweeking.... Any isobaric teack change..could easily find a quick route of colder pen-of even colder uppers...... @more widespread

The weekend needs an eye already.. Wouldnt take a great deal of tweeking for snow quite widely in the forecast...ecm 12z... Already the notions- are noted !!!

An exaction of some of the longer rangers!!!.. @very late feb/early march.. With a whip of heights and again some deep pooling infer... I hate to use it but...REDUX 2018!!!.. The spaces need watching!!!

A good sign...and 1 we need to see more construcive-..in both alignment..and force.

But the placement-you allude to @pna/pacific- format..is bubblying around now via models.. And the sharpening/ebb-an flow..will have massive ramifications for all hp placements especialy the atlantic sector.. Which obviously includes ourselves..i flagged this up saturday. Its the main jet director now.. And again has some big notions via its position. There are a good few outs/supports that have us in a far more fa ourable place going forwads via a more fanciful pacific modeling...i will refrain from sticking them up atm...as there is just to much diverge- rite now... However expect some very interesting developments....fairly soon now!!! Gfs 6z...a very extreme solution!!!