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tight isobar

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Everything posted by tight isobar

  1. Morning!. The winter of discontent continues!.. ironically the polar profile/ pv are playing ball.. however the drivers- equatorial platforms, are miss firing. We need the madden JO to play a massive factor of gain to revive anything “ like winter Synoptics “ for our shores!! I’m not seeing anything other than switch n revert just now !!!
  2. @ICE COLD - if a shabby PM incursion is the best we can hope for then I’ll hang up my hat this season
  3. @nick sussex @nick sussex It’s abysmal output for any cold incursion northern most- let alone countrywide.. it’s almost as if the Azores is becoming energized, as the pv transfers east and elongating and rubber stamping it’s authority both to upstream dynamics.. and indeed European ones. Atm it’s very difficult to be optimistic in the foreseeable!!!
  4. The mean standing bk but the clustering is getting bound.. we need to look bk end jan/- early feb- for alignment in dynamics… get ya rollercoater tickets here
  5. Straight up February is our prime outlet things slowly getting going.. @ blocking@ direct incursion..
  6. Can we get explosive/ ppn expansion?.. a rare breed- however it’s possible.. some surprises dustings/ coverings likely regional…
  7. Nxt week pretty much set in stone @ mobility.. and unseasonably mild!.. but the question is .. is this the by point for transition to a different outcome!! I’d say so.
  8. A watching progress! That’s an awful lot of shower activity along the east coast into the North Sea! And the desired wash push looks to be getting going for inland penetration.. certainly 1 to watch 4 the region..
  9. Gfs n gem offering up similar Synoptics- into the latter stages! There is certainly a scope for formats of heights into the Scandinavian plots.. and with momentum gaining, it’s more than a feasible evolution.. as per we’ll watch and see this possibly developing scenario. And watch ens supporters for the switch!…
  10. Any double digit mildness looking ever shorter -long lived.. the longer term well, it’s an unfolding sarga atm..
  11. The system-lps- is a non pivoted sync.. this is going into the Low Countries. A complete miss. And a complete shame!!
  12. Somewhat oddly / unusual- we now have a better chance region wide nxt 36/48 from forming shower activity around the Cheshire gap.. the Synoptics are ripe for showers getting well inland and heading further south. There’s even an outside chance of more organized snow bands developing… so something to watch …
  13. It’s now unfortunately a dud! All models are wide of the margin perhaps for the extreme south and very short lived !
  14. We raise the game via North Sea precipitation (possible) into the region.. this is an evolver.. very interesting!!!
  15. Wow we lose the lp- but the drop slant into France raises wash/ North Sea precipitation inland…
  16. A biblical turnaround needed now.. in saying that I wouldn’t be “ at all surprised” to see a gfs /icon compare… then the ecm chuck a northward twitch in..,,
  17. 1st 12z off the score cards- the German 1 having none of it- it’s barely even a channel low via this@ straight into France !!!!
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