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tight isobar

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tight isobar last won the day on February 7

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    uxbridge middlesex(south east england)
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    The mighty arsenal fc. Beer ,good food, fishing.and all things weather related...
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    blizzard conditions. ice days

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  1. Great analysis. And 'certainly'.. We need 'imo' (as well).. To look at pole emphasis. And the guide tool now.. For a more probable-forecast. And solar. And axis phasing!. Things are 'a' changing'.. #cooling phase #natural cycle!!!
  2. And nearer terminology!!.. A good representation.. Of the decline. And Scandinavia COOLING....
  3. Andd. . It's high time to fall off that now cracked summer fence!!! I can't remember tbh being quite so exited by the very early prog/early notions sliding into the vastness/madness..of our deceiptful/-sometimes -comical winter months!! A pretty basic 1 for starts. But my eye is taken via many factors as we slowly roll in.. But the immediate shunt..is the northern hemisphere snow forms. Taking the oceanic stills and likely formats as we progress.. The the evolving 'likely' strains on pressure squeeze into the upper/higher latts..it's certainly spiking early interest!!. In simple terms 'right NOW'.. The extent...And cover formats will hold a high sign for us/those seeking early preference to 'perhaps' a good shape going IN!! Large scale missing except on the previous format subject-2018-.. Yet already the minamal raise!! And certainly an-earmarked upage on a northern eatern early impact!!!.. Now that is-what ya want to be seeing..in regards to latter nw blocking format.. And most definitely... For encouraging N/N/E polar incursions... Not going into other forms..ie upper layer influences..Just yet..but.. It's definitely...a roller...early on this 1!!!!!
  4. @balanced. And as the jamtec previous update .that allowingly got flagged for it preferred cold early northern hemisphere prognosis.. It also balances pretty well on overscale!.ie 3/6 months shouting..so I do await it's updated format with eagerness.. And I'm not getting into the record breaking layer heating @the bottom pole...until we head a little further in!!!!!
  5. Last months jam(update)- mirrors the Lrf mod in question! .(previously).. I await the update with a degree of uncertainty! .. But I'm sure the goliath southern hem ssw ..WILL have an impact on modeling through out...-including_northern hemisphere exacting.. This is gonna be an interesting month or SO!!!!
  6. no sensationalism at all Steve. .. an accurate account. .. the UK record looking under increased threat through next week... *we are going to hell*..
  7. extremely quick from me. however imo we are setting up now for 'perhaps '! the hottest part of summer. ..with what could be locked in conditions for a while. .. with a notable open door....for plume incurance. ..as we relax the state in the upper most hemisphere! !
  8. a bundle of wriggle room...for heat contination...when drenching through all data!!!!!
  9. ecm 12z..well within the run... some notable heat punching into the uk.. @the london ones.....
  10. an-interesting peak @the 500 mb anoms mid/late nxt week... also keep an eye on the arch for extension...as the heat builds in... a hares breath away from a very noted HEATWAVE ATM!!!!
  11. Its tight..(no pun intended). But the terminal forcing-and upper shunts-are of switch and turn..the The tenplated are of that..'change afoot'. In the oceanic/atmospheric feature. Late..YES.. of value..also yes. Most mods/notes have atm a polar maritime switch to note what has been looked 4..but there..THE CATCH IS..as in the 2m temp conts which fail/and have failed via data stackes for months. The pac ridge/annom has designed the nor hem weather/climate and governed..for 10/12 weeks.. But now relaxes the overall format..and folds into a polar hole/annom..of massive feature.as a present presented via models.. The missed notion of many/-including model conscience-is thats is that..the miss dynamic of both coupling and strat/trop bigger..and better..ie 1 cant couple..without the other giving way!.. Sadly for spring weather fans they have both now missed eachother..and left upper dynamics in a soggy mess And like a chlid painting a picture with toffee in 100c heat..its ending up an unpredict..mess.. But that mess has 2 be cleaned up..and b4 it is has 2 work out the best evaluation of such...and some1 has too suffer... So if you like a cold..very late WINTER..early spring shock...then you are the picked janitor.. The polar V will split and down on the already un-effect latts.. 'Lets say the UK'.. HMM undoubtadly. Its the most lagged..yet already gone RESPONCE in likely history... But the worst of winter for our shores..will come off- the back of some notable late winter warmth.. Dont ya just love it!!??
  12. We'll now refer to spaghetti plots.. Of mass mix of major coupling/quading of outs.. I say sorry now-to some whom will be of confuse.. But the design/rep...is on!!!
  13. This thread is open/and designed for both you and your seek out..followers. I fear for yourself-and the false dawn spring seekers here. @outliers.. You know yourself-its a climbing dynamic..when either..or ither..are folding on out rite miss dynamic...is the breach of change in the model dyanamical synoptics. The out-guided format..is closer to HIT...THAN MISS... When in a repeat sequence...
  14. Alreasy stale data.. And you know the reverse climitology of the maritime uk.. And data supply.. With both ana's and pre-tense!
  15. Ha ha.. A 'how warm will it be thread'... Quickly followed [email protected] to cold hunt. Its fantastic in here @times.. And the reverse psycology.. Is bang on the button.. Xx @big love My paywall..and analysis is fraught.. Enjoy your mild..false dawn.. X
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