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Dunlop Dave

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Posts posted by Dunlop Dave

  1. 8 minutes ago, s4lancia said:

    You stole our snow 5 years ago!! We’ll have this one thanks ?

    The 00z suite says it’s still very much game on fo a late winter last hurrah. As always at this time of year, the sun will be both friend and foe. Burning up any lying snow at a great rate of knots but providing copious amounts of energy for very heavy convective activity.

    Not there yet still though. I’d say this one is a bit more finely balanced than the previous beasterly. Amazing synoptics to be looking at for mid March though.

     

    Ha. You stole the recent snow ! We got 5cm then hammered with rain and temps of 7c by the Friday. Tbf we lost a hell of a lot of trees back in ‘13. Winds got up to f10. Not keen for that again. 

    • Like 1
  2. 5 minutes ago, Singularity said:

    It really stands out to me that we're looking at stagnating cold across the UK later next week at a time when unusual NE US warmth coupled with vortex displacement to Siberia looks to completely take the oomph out of the Atlantic jet.

    What this means is any attempt by Atlantic LP to move in should see it disrupt and cause a snow event - but odds are it won't manage to move in at all and we'll be looking for the Siberian vortex lobe to edge west, which is a big ask but has big rewards as Dec 2010 showed us.

    The MJO looks feisty enough and there's enough lean toward phase 8 (remembering H-W plots are likely going to continue struggling due to multiple convective centres) that a believe we're actually in with a shout. Bonkers, I know!

    Feb 1991 the eastern seaboard had warm temps in the low 20's when we had the snow. Good sign !

    • Like 1
  3. 1 hour ago, Hanny said:

    Quite bizarre comments to be honest, as a 'Brit' I have always dressed correctly for the conditions - in fact I could confirm that there is approx 12,000 British Ladies and Gents that are currently correctly dressed for the weather in 'Europe' ......... I can also confirm that they all take the 'Queens Shilling' :hi:

    I currently work in both Norway and Denmark (two parts of Scandinavia), I can confirm that there are far more deaths there than UK in the winter ......... how ever it is not due to the cold but depression due to the short days would you believe!! 

    As the UK is a Temperate climate and it is not the 'norm' to have pre-longed snowing conditions, I think the average across the UK works out at approx 5-10 days as a mean average - I am not surprised that some people don't dress for the cold, but I think that those deaths that do happen in UK is not from being dressed outside but more that they can't afford to put on the heating or have an illness that is the main contributor to said death.

    I suppose that another way of looking at it - if you were to move the people over from Yakutsk with their winter kit - they would probably die of heat stroke in winter on our little island !! :pardon:

     

    Hollow is talking about deaths from the cold. Nothing to do with Sad syndrome. That's the argument 

  4. Nothing marginal there!

    For the channel islands that's got to about as close to perfection as one can get.

    Whatever anyone thinks about the 06 GFS from a reliability point of view when something like that pops up at 90 hours out its got to be taken seriously. GEFS will be interesting.

    Safe to say I'm a little excited on this one. Somebody mentioned close to '91. We had 14" of snow at sea level and the highest point of Guernsey (100m) had nearly 2 foot from that event !!

    • Like 1
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