Dunlop Dave
-
Posts
69 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Dunlop Dave
-
-
8 minutes ago, Tog said:
Seems a lot like beast 1, Alderney had the best snow, just that few miles North made a big difference.
Yup. Even Guernsey was split in 2. 10cm where I live, 4 miles south had 2cm. Alderney got 20+cm.
Sleet now forecast and what a waste of space sleet is
- 1
-
Looks like a correction north so a disaster for us in the Channel Islands. Get the impression the low in north France is going to push up and will now move the main snow along the south England coast.
-
8 minutes ago, s4lancia said:
You stole our snow 5 years ago!! We’ll have this one thanks ?
The 00z suite says it’s still very much game on fo a late winter last hurrah. As always at this time of year, the sun will be both friend and foe. Burning up any lying snow at a great rate of knots but providing copious amounts of energy for very heavy convective activity.
Not there yet still though. I’d say this one is a bit more finely balanced than the previous beasterly. Amazing synoptics to be looking at for mid March though.
Ha. You stole the recent snow ! We got 5cm then hammered with rain and temps of 7c by the Friday. Tbf we lost a hell of a lot of trees back in ‘13. Winds got up to f10. Not keen for that again.
- 1
-
No no no. Don’t need anything going further north !! Southerly correction please ! Need that low in Normandy to sink a bit more for us in the Channel Islands. Should hopefully get a good channel streamer with the setup though
- 1
-
-
Good snowfall earlier in Guernsey but turned to rain around 2.45pm. Been raining heavily since and the snow slowly melting away.
- 1
-
We had 15cm in Guernsey. Beautiful
- 7
-
Superb stuff in Guernsey. Coming down really hard. Few cm lying now
-
Quite liking those ppn charts for the Channel Islands. We seem to do well out those channel streamers
-
Another flip flop from the gfs. Coming back in 4 days. This rollercoaster is driving me nuts !
- 2
-
-
5 minutes ago, Singularity said:
It really stands out to me that we're looking at stagnating cold across the UK later next week at a time when unusual NE US warmth coupled with vortex displacement to Siberia looks to completely take the oomph out of the Atlantic jet.
What this means is any attempt by Atlantic LP to move in should see it disrupt and cause a snow event - but odds are it won't manage to move in at all and we'll be looking for the Siberian vortex lobe to edge west, which is a big ask but has big rewards as Dec 2010 showed us.
The MJO looks feisty enough and there's enough lean toward phase 8 (remembering H-W plots are likely going to continue struggling due to multiple convective centres) that a believe we're actually in with a shout. Bonkers, I know!
Feb 1991 the eastern seaboard had warm temps in the low 20's when we had the snow. Good sign !
- 1
-
9C and lashings of rain in Guernsey !
-
Sadly looks like a rain event for us. Payback for the low slider of March 2013 that gave us 40cm in a day and none for you lot !
- 4
-
1 hour ago, Hanny said:
Quite bizarre comments to be honest, as a 'Brit' I have always dressed correctly for the conditions - in fact I could confirm that there is approx 12,000 British Ladies and Gents that are currently correctly dressed for the weather in 'Europe' ......... I can also confirm that they all take the 'Queens Shilling'
I currently work in both Norway and Denmark (two parts of Scandinavia), I can confirm that there are far more deaths there than UK in the winter ......... how ever it is not due to the cold but depression due to the short days would you believe!!
As the UK is a Temperate climate and it is not the 'norm' to have pre-longed snowing conditions, I think the average across the UK works out at approx 5-10 days as a mean average - I am not surprised that some people don't dress for the cold, but I think that those deaths that do happen in UK is not from being dressed outside but more that they can't afford to put on the heating or have an illness that is the main contributor to said death.
I suppose that another way of looking at it - if you were to move the people over from Yakutsk with their winter kit - they would probably die of heat stroke in winter on our little island !!
Hollow is talking about deaths from the cold. Nothing to do with Sad syndrome. That's the argument
-
33 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:
Absolutely dire ecm for coldies.
Can pretty much forget the first half of jan if thats near the mark.
Unbelieveable jeff.
No panic here. In my eyes, the way the seasons are going, winter has just begun.
- 2
-
- 3
-
-
Jay said it with a wry smile. He's a keen skier after all
if it snows it snows. Anything can happen between now and next week. Too many times I've seen the hype on here over the last ten years and too many times it's gone wrong. I shall be getting excited from Monday.
- 2
-
Nothing to do with the fact the sea is at its warmest for this time of year for a very, very long time ?? We've had record sea temps over the last 6 months here in Guernsey. That can't help.
-
Sleet/rain at sea level but a bit of snow at 100m here in Guernsey but not amounting to much
-
Nothing marginal there!
For the channel islands that's got to about as close to perfection as one can get.
Whatever anyone thinks about the 06 GFS from a reliability point of view when something like that pops up at 90 hours out its got to be taken seriously. GEFS will be interesting.
Safe to say I'm a little excited on this one. Somebody mentioned close to '91. We had 14" of snow at sea level and the highest point of Guernsey (100m) had nearly 2 foot from that event !!
- 1
-
Nice charts. Can see a good channel streamer firing up from this to affect us here in the Channel Islands !
-
Just wondering what the established members here make of the channel low for Monday into Tuesday ? Obviously not your typical channel low but looking good to coat the Channel Islands again like the low of March 2013 ?
South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 03/03/2018 Onwards
in Regional
Posted
Raining in Guernsey