That ECM
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Posts posted by That ECM
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Just catching up, looking at longer term, looks like a high over us forever.
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T168. Struggling to see the way forward.
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Been mad busy so just catching up on output. Not sure if this has been posted. Interesting.
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Quite a difference in the means.
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johncam I’m not, I’m not saying it’s right either. I’ve been on the longer term cold possibility but ukmo is interesting.
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Forget same page, different book.
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Exeter upgrade, I’m off to Tenerife. It’s nailed on.
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IDO The difficulty with end of the week potential is that we need it to be at the bottom of the options and the middle options don’t produce what most would want.
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Lukesluckybunch yes it’s great viewing. Oh to get to the reliable.
I will happily eat the biggest piece of humble pie anyone could serve and they can put numerous cherries on top.
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Ali1977 There’s such a disconnect between output and professionals. That is not south winds for stow on the wold but that’s what the professionals think. The placement of the low will make such a difference to places. As I’ve said before I don’t see it for the vast majority this week but would love to be wrong.
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jules216 the period of interest for me is beyond the time your chart covers. 17 out of the 31 are nice. It’s FI of course.
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This is the trend we want to see continue.
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Mean has improved.
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10 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
There is a lot going on here. One thing that strikes me is the amount of red borders (Scandi block). This highlights the possibility of drawing in an easterly or northeasterly. Cluster 3 shows this well - evolves a very well placed block. Cluster 2 could be good too with some tweaks. Cluster 1 heads the block up to Greenland, again slight tweak needed to align with the UK
That’s where my interest is. I’m with nick, I think the first chase is not going to happen for the vast majority.
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There’s enough beyond T168 to T240 to keep us interested. There’s enough in the later gefs to keep us interested. There’s not enough agreement to be confident proper cold is coming.
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Moans, ramps and banter
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
It has been an interesting winter from an output watching perspective but on the whole from an imby view frustrating. Hey ho, it is what it is. I have little interest through the spring summer and autumn unless I’m going on holiday, so see you all in December to hunt again.
