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That ECM

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    Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.

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  1. only a couple of days ago people were worried that only one of the big 3 were going for an easterly. Now people are worried about how quick it will appear. All 3 agree on early set up, its from t120 where we see differences. We know t120 plus is JFF. It was last night with the amazing ecm output and it is this morning with the not so good run.
  2. One small step by the ukmo one giant step for a coldies confidence chart of the day for me.
  3. Thanks Paul, that's what I need another thread to watch every 5 minutes This potential cold spell has just got a little more interesting!!
  4. Not resolved, agreed but what is the trend from the gfs, twice today and the ukmo? T144, plenty of time for the high to be a little further north and bring in an easterly .
  5. I just wanna tell you how I'm feeling Gotta make you understand Never gonna give you up Never gonna let you down Never gonna run around and desert you Never gonna make you cry Never gonna say goodbye Never gonna tell a lie and hurt you We've known each other for so long Your heart's been aching but you're too shy to say it Inside we both know what's been going on We know the game and we're gonna play it
  6. Jeez, flipping heck, pants, got the hump. At least I had 4 days in Lapland and saw a foot of snow fall in 24hrs.
  7. Look how much the np on the gfs has moved towards ukmo. IF we see a similar reduction again in energy from the nw on the gfs later the rest of the run will go on to look more like ukmo. Imo until this resolved looking past t96 plus is JFF. Upto t96 on gfs is a step towards ukmo but happy for others to disagree with charts and commentary to back up their thoughts.
  8. Imo a step towards ukmo. Low out west being modelled now. Heights going more north as less energy from the nw. Not the same as ukmo but a move towards it.