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thesnowman

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Everything posted by thesnowman

  1. thesnowman
    Fine snow grains in Downpatrick and getting heavier with sky a lot darker ! hopefully 24 hours streamers on the way for us!
  2. thesnowman
    check out 50 miles east of paris -! mega storm
  3. thesnowman
    ... no snow for 2 weeks based on charts... winter is over for ireland now.... what winter? had one flurry! well done to carryduff chap , apart from carryduff no snow in ireland in winter 2012 /2013 see you all next December for
  4. thesnowman
    pictures please - none here - but pictures - I need evidence - please please
  5. thesnowman
    , u not get 6 inches last night>
  6. thesnowman
    .. What a MASSIVE DOWNGRADE from GFS - could this be the biggest reversal of the winter! and within reliable timeframes - within 36 hours - cold shunted to EAST with Zonal pattern established by Wendnesday... why did no expects pick this up?!? a cracking change by GFS model we wait on for real cold
  7. thesnowman
    NO SNOW for Western Fringes on any chart - rain for Western Scotland, Northern Ireland and West WALES and S West areas. Only a 2 hundred mile shift to EAST would wipe out snow potential for everyone else - so care is required !! wet snow for most - with sleet at times
  8. thesnowman
    GFS backdown appears to have missed quite a few on the thread today...... diluted by 35% from 00Z charts.... upgrade possible but not likely I fear
  9. thesnowman
    I have to laugh and agree - the MODEL of greatest respect is GFS - the daddy bear of all models - BUT when Daddy scolds us - everyone runs to Mummy bear and baby bears because they make us feel warm and cosy... deep down we all know who is boss! so GFS return to Zonal - a 4 day cool blip - thats the facts as they stand, and don't be thinking daddy bear GFS will be changing his mind at 10pm tonight! lets see if daddy bear is consistent... he has been in the past
  10. thesnowman
    .. 50%/75% downgrade on GFS this morning - the reluctance to develop and easterly worth anything is quite startling - if anything the re establishment of high pressure to the West of Iberia looks more likely now - and what does this mean - MILD and WET, all likely it appear around days 5 to 7. What a miserable outlook in the medium term. Longterm - to be ignored - bases on winter so far...
  11. thesnowman
    ... still everything to play for past 96 hours... however zonal is the norm ! I'd say 75% we will revert back to Zonal once this HP has drifted SE and faded... 60 years experience I'm afraid - thats a lot of winters.. sorry to put a damper on everyones optimism, cooler because " its mid winter" and its been so so mild !
  12. thesnowman
    I'd love to know the stats so far on this winter... for me mild and wet, about 3 days of frost in October, no snow within 500 miles, and the date 4th January!! Surely it is it the least snowiest winter EVER! I'd love to know if this is the case or is it just a perception
  13. thesnowman
    at last.. a nice locally and unbiased view
  14. thesnowman
    You evaluation is spot on TEITS, we are definitely now looking out beyond Mid January for anything remotely cold, My concern is that with lengthening daylight hours, and the total LACK of cold in WESTERN EUROPE, the continent will not now hold onto deep cold if it arrives, the outlook is extremely bleak for anything cold in the winter 2012/2013
  15. thesnowman
    ...What incredibly poor COLD charts all round this morning....... If anything they are getting"worse" if COLD is what we are looking for. 90% of the ensembles are indicating > 0C for next 2 weeks - thats awful for mid winter. Kids will grow up this winter not knowing what snow is.. Anyone fancy RAIN?
  16. thesnowman
    Fully agree TEITS... another spot on post...well done.... probably only 4 weeks of winter -these patterns last a long time, and we have only just got into this zonal rut, lack of snow is pretty remarkable so far this winter.. could we have a "snow free winter" look 75% likely looking at these runs
  17. thesnowman
    Everyone - must tell you this!! ( please don't delete) .. Got up ... opened the curtains.. and guess what........ WHITE EVERYWHERE !!!!.......... Yes yes......... the wife covered our bedroom window in ARTIFICIAL SNOW from the outside....................... what a cool present on Xmas morning - thankyou darling,,,XXX... thanks for nothing models (GFS etc bad humbug)
  18. thesnowman
    TEITS is spot on again over recent days - well done, very little out there to give us any confidence in cold or even "cool" over the next 2 weeks. This is probably as bad as it gets ( or has been) in recent years. Such a promising outlook from our friends in the Met - however nothing as we approach mid way through winter
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