mattrout92
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Everything posted by mattrout92
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Very interesting from GFS and ECM for tomorrow, could be a dusting in a few areas, possibly to lower levels too.
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Some tiny flakes here at the moment which is a surprise. Can't see it amounting to anything though
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This morning's ECM and now the 12z GFS have trended Wednesday's low back northwards today, another 50-100miles further North and we would be back in the game.
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Don't think we will know until Sunday, still too far out at this range. Models output is still changing a lot
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Good to see a few flakes yesterday evening. Fingers crossed next week is one to remember, models looking good at the moment, and they have done for some time.
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Few snowflakes in the breeze here. First of the winter
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Moderate snowfall here currently given a dusting on grass/ cars. A pleasant surprise!
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About 3cm here so far, it’s going to be a good day!
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Not long until the front arrives!
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Still think it's underplaying it slightly
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Yes please!
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I'll set the alarm for about 3.30am to have a peak outside. Think the main event is tomorrow afternoon though, anytime from 11am onwards.
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BBC forecast was still using this morning's model data 100%, the low for Thursday was too far North to how it's currently being modelled
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Interestingly, the UKV has been shifting the snow for tonight Northwards all day on each run. It barely had the band making it into Wales this morning, now it's into the Brecon Beacons by 3am. The ECM has had this nailed this morning and has been slowly upgrading the intensity of snow with each run. Think many places will wake up to 1-3cm tomorrow morning, with the chance of significantly more in the afternoon.
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Got to be more warnings coming for the Met Office for tomorrow. ECM moving Thursday's Southwards event too, so Mid and North Wales well in the game for then too
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UKMO has snow from from 4am in the morning right through to tomorrow evening. Here's a snapshot at 2pm
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12 hours of snow in South Wales... who knows!
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GFS just won't back down with the snow tonight/tomorrow morning
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Here we go, game on!
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UKV Wednesday morning
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ECM showing light/moderate snow on and off from Wednesday morning through to Thursday Lunchtime. Big improvement!
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Not much to get excited about from the models this morning. Still think Thursday could be interesting, currently showing a snow to rain event on the GFS, but I don't think the front will move through that quickly... We shall see
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UKMO brings about 9 hours of snow to parts of S Wales Tuesday into Wednesday. Then a snow to rain event on Thursday more widely across Wales.
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Think snow could pop up anywhere Tuesday to Friday. Here's the UKV this morning showing a spell of snow in S Wales Tuesday into Wednesday, could easily be further north or south. GFS looks great this morning though
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I have a feeling next week is going to be good... something like this would do nicely
