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I remember Atlantic 252

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Everything posted by I remember Atlantic 252

  1. tomorrow will feel raw, probably coldest feeling day in years, biting wind and max of 2° before we go back to normal during Tuesday, and if GFS 12Z is correct then Dec to be dominated by zonality, westerlies, wind and rain
  2. pressure the key though SS, what I tend to look at, not bad around 1030 in FI, hate that yellow outlier though
  3. I'll certainly be more confident of snow in your location, 300m in Scotland, if you don't see snow then, winters changed even more than I thought
  4. 00Z though Frosty, by this time daffs will be out (south) double digits all the way on GFS from 6th until end (20th)
  5. Yes and here WH, may help to keep CET down, if clear in the CET zone
  6. 2001 was north only, had a very brief slight dusting in the evening, while listening to the 'new' Atlantic 252, non stop rhythm and dance! yeah man!
  7. yes, winter clothes away for a bit, no in June we'll have NE'lys
  8. seems reasonable SS, likely accurate as well, I reckon over Xmas we'll be in a westerly with average temps, not super mild, but snow only for Scottish mountains
  9. Similar to last Dec Frosty, remember similar setup being modeled for around same time in early Dec, zonality relaxed a little bit, but not enough
  10. Daffs out by Xmas? if I wrote for the Express, I'd write something like ' Britain to bask in balmy temperatures' 'Dec 2016 to rival Dec 2015'
  11. looking like wed into Thurs may not drop below 13° in some parts, not the only mild day either, most days shown on GFS from 6th to 18th are double digits in the south lettucing gutted may win CET comp
  12. So, it's the usual, mild and wet for foreseeable future, Atlantic to dominate, 5.9° CET guess may be too low, and the straw clutching about a little high to the north on ECMWF 240, GFS though mild/stormy all the way, certainly more like Dec '15
  13. chart reminds me of last Dec, sigh air all way from Azores, and won't be dry
  14. Yes, deepest FI but let's hope it dosen't, could be flooding issues for quite a few areas, best if the jet is much further north, with lows tracking nearer Iceland, keeps the flooding away, do not want water in peoples houses for Xmas again
  15. yes, this dec looks similar to last Dec, at least on the models, cooler though due to first 5 days
  16. a shame because they are good forecasters, very well written forecast lots of effort gone in, well done to lorenzo and Matt! but then you get a limited knowledge member like I remember Atlantic 252, saying the Atlantic will dominate with zonality, and hate for it to be correct
  17. oh well, shorts out, maybe flip flops too, some of these charts by all models remind me of last Dec
  18. cool Ian, find your forecasts accurate, let's hope we get drier spells as lows track further north, and no floods
  19. Yes some of the charts look a bit like last Dec, Wed looks like a washout and 12°
  20. I'm sticking with the 'bogey' figure 5.9°, as first 5 days look chilly, so may not be too high when the Atlantic dominates
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