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Ali1977

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Everything posted by Ali1977

  1. Ali1977
    ECM at 144, I’d certainly take that after this last few months - even if it melts in a day!!
  2. Ali1977
    As a mean that’s quite a snowy cold signal for some at T150, some members have the whole U.K. in -8/10 uppers with snow possible everywhere and others just in Scotland. I’d say late next week and weekend may be the last chance of snow for some in February at least!! Let’s see if the ECM follows the colder members and UKMO
  3. Ali1977
    UKMO looking much better for some snow further south at 144, jet really digging down - however, the way this winter has gone I have no doubt the GFS has nailed it
  4. Ali1977
    A rogue run here no doubt but there seems to be some hints that next weekend could have a colder shot of PM air, and with the jet displaced a little further south this could bring snow to a few more of us that have been starved this year.
  5. Ali1977
    Day 10 mean getting colder, with jet continuing to dig south - many ENS have a stormy looking toppler type scenario with a chunk of PV dropping to our SE (examples below), so one to watch!! might not produce country wide snow, but definitely a storm on the cold side!!
  6. Ali1977
    The mean beyond day 10 does suggest the jet will be digging further south, this could end up being much windier and colder for all vice just Scotland !!
  7. Ali1977
  8. Ali1977
    I wonder if that front down south might produce some snow around T66, it’s not far off have the right Synoptics with DAM, and dew points..
  9. Ali1977
    Next Friday could offer some surprises, maybe, it’s cold so we just need some little disturbances in the flow - and possibly disturbances in the Force going off winter so far this year
  10. Ali1977
    No comments, however the GFS is showing a pretty potent cold spell in 6-8 days time - no real snow modelled though. The UKMO could also produce some cold weather - if it sharpens up anyway as heights to get some fair distance north EDIT - 168 Not as good on UKMO, probably why there’s no comments
  11. Ali1977
    Well I confirm the rain is turning to snow at my location, for only the 3rd time this winter which is pretty poor!!
  12. Ali1977
    A covering for some tomorrow morning according to the GFS, I’m in that little blue but so I hope so - although this is the GFS so I’m not holding out for a possible 1/4 cm
  13. Ali1977
    The GFS mean would suggest the chance of a cold spell late next week shown on the Op is possible, with -6c uppers or colder covering many areas.
  14. Ali1977
    At 240 we have some cross model agreement of height rises in our area or slightly to our NW, nothing decent at this stage but the GFS does have a good attempt at bringing cold in beyond 240 as posted earlier. There’s no wording on the METO of anything cold, still, however it’s something to keep an eye on.
  15. Ali1977
    The control and several other ENS have the front coming through as snow, one to watch as a surprise event possibly!!
  16. Ali1977
    A nice GFS FI for a change, just a shame it’s FI.
  17. Ali1977
    Well there’s zero support for the UKMO 144 within the GEFS at 144, and these zero support for the GFS on at 240. Basically there’s 0 support for any cold at any point for anywhere away from Scottish hills - which pretty much sums up the METO text. Ive even resorted to watching the CBS Boston live news online - they are defo having something is coldies would wish for
  18. Ali1977
    Day 10 on the GFS still pretty good though, better than the 06z anyway
  19. Ali1977
    UKMO again very diff to the GFS at 144, better for coldies therefore likely wrong
  20. Ali1977
    Scottish hills will get ridiculous snow and drift in this set up , and potentially further south if that PV keeps dropping. Which it did, extreme PM weather this where’s the U.K. gone 528 Dam south of the UK - most of the U.K. in heavy squally snow showers
  21. Ali1977
    Interesting little feature at day 10 in some polar air could hammer the north
  22. Ali1977
    Certainly good for the north the latest GFS, the GEFS have some interest to our East at day 9 (attached) but we know that’ll disappear. Let’s hope the PM air brings surprises even in the south
  23. Ali1977
    Someone said P1 always verifies - the ridge at day 8 gets a little more traction - our equiv of the upcoming Boston storm . To be fair it’s one of the best U.K. snow storms I’ve ever seen modelled, it’s just keeps on snowing and snowing in a blizzard - if only
  24. Ali1977
    FI, but that’s a good looking NH going forward. Look at that WAA blasting in from Alaska
  25. Ali1977
    The pressure charts looks fairly innocuous, but here comes that frigid PM air.
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