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alexisj9

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Posts posted by alexisj9

  1. 39 minutes ago, sunnijim said:

    A very unremarkable event in the SE both on coasts and inland.

    Gusts no higher than 55mph to 60mph.

    Amber  warning unnecessary , but given model projections understandable.

    Data more widely over Northern Ireland the far North of England and Scitland shows  70mph to 80mph gusts recorded  in places .

    Exposed headlands and mountain tops coming in with a couple of higher gusts.

    Yeah cause normal for the pylons to ark with low winds, the where very gusty here, but no station to pick it up. Probably lea winds or something.

  2. Im watching the electric pylon cables arking right opposite me, on the down my kids walk to school over, not sure how long I'm gonna have electric for.happened about three times in the last five minutes. And I don't think this is anywhere near over for us.

  3. 2 minutes ago, Thunders said:

    The wind is super load now, I can feel it shaking the house. Neighbours Chairs have been flung across their garden and power lines swinging violently. Also trees are bending a concerning amount.

    Same really kicked of in the last few minutes.

  4. Just now, Ian Ballinger said:

    The neighbours have just got a new one a few weeks ago, as the last one got destroyed last time we had a storm and nearly ended up on my car

    Must have had responsible neighbours here, they had a trampoline for years, and the nets were always taken down if the wind picked up, had the other neighbours over hot tub gazebo in my back garden though, along with weights that were holding it down and some fencing. That bit of wind made a right racket, trampoline survive in place.

  5. 3 hours ago, emmett garland said:

    56 flights cancelled at Dublin airport and 7 flights diverted already and warning not in force until 5pm.. It begins and its hooting a gale here currently.

    It's starting here, standing at a bus stop to go home, really pushing me about. 

     

  6. 30 minutes ago, The PIT said:

    Problem is a tree through the roof has the same impact at 12:00 as it does at 00:00hrs.

    Warning should be based solely on the expected speeds regardless whether it's ten sheep in the peak district to 50 sheep in a park in town.

    Actually assuming the person is at work in the day, and asleep at night, you could argue it may have worse consequences at night.

    • Like 2
    • Insightful 1
  7. 41 minutes ago, Fiona Robertson said:

    Just to illustrate what I see going on here, there was a complaint a wee while ago about Met Eireann naming a storm because "it wasn't that bad in Leicester"...not Leinster, Leicester.

    Exactly this, the named storm has impacts somewhere, if it named by us, it'll be somewhere on the British isles, be that jursey, Ireland, Wales, Scotland, North England, SE England, sw England, northeast England, or literally all over, like today's. Just cause it's week where you are, doesn't mean it shouldn't have been named. If it's name by another country, it might not have any severe impacts for us at all, but it's still named, and still deserves it's name, for whatever it's named for.

    • Like 3
  8. 27 minutes ago, minus10 said:

    Interesting that the London area , parts of central and eastern areas only left out of the amber...what is it about this part of the country that would result in the winds being somewhat less strong given that parts of cambridgeshire are in the amber. .also given the large population of the London area and home counties which is as i understand is taken into account for the warnings...

    Screenshot_20240121_103539_Chrome.thumb.jpg.07dbcf9ceb365bb16f1839ae2d7572ee.jpg

    Shelter from the sw by Chiltern perhaps plus very long land track 

    • Like 2
  9. 5 minutes ago, sunnijim said:

    Totally with you on this.

    However I would suggest impacts are likely from this one so warnings are required.

    We could certainly point to many of the yellow warnings in the past as being unnecessary and evidence of the nanny state we live in.

    When somthing a little more serious pops up as is the case today your 'average jo' is completely desensitised and sets about their life safe in their knowledge that it is a big fuss about nothing!

    We can only hope that when a storm comes that is worth warnings 80mph to 100mph) and occurs during a rush hour people are taking their phone apps and news broadcasts seriously.

    As I said earlier, pay attention to the M.O now.

    Where they have the strongest warnings is where the highest winds will be.

    People still cherry picking random model runs to show their  back yard might be worse than expert predictions and where the highest winds will be🤣

    If you switch from yellow to Amber today then you will be in for a rough ride, not historic, but watch out for that flying trampoline!

    I can do the opposite and point to numerous strong easterlies that should have been at least yellow and caused damage down here, with no warnings.

    • Like 1
  10. 12 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:

    Amber Warning extended to nearly all the UK. Never seen that before..

    Screenshot_20240121_101500_SamsungInternet.thumb.jpg.83d88113ee0af641020518dc957a5999.jpg

    Wow, and to be honest expected. I can not believe there's people in here saying we are hyping this up. It's going to be a major storm, OK probably not as strong as the extreme stuff some are after, but very stronge winds for hours country wide is serious even so. There will be areas with extreme gusts too.

    • Like 8
  11. 5 minutes ago, Wold Topper said:

    Isn't the point of naming them too draw attention? 🤔 

    To the area effected which is more sign posted by warnings. Also if a storm is named by other countries we often use the name, even though it's not effecting us.

  12. 6 hours ago, TN9 said:

    Considering theres not much happening at the moment,( till tomorrow)ive contrasted it a bit as you wouldnt have sort of noticed if  you wasnt  here (obviously) but for mid layer  cloud it had 20240120_151029.thumb.jpg.53937711e5493aeaa6434e3b67f0bf77.jpghallmarks of a  summer storm brewing ..

    Actually it has been notably windy today, compared to the rest of the week lol, normal business has resumed. I guess we'll see what Sunday night Monday morning brings 

    4 hours ago, MAF said:

    love a feel-good story amongst all the doom and  gloom ones currently 

    WWW.BBC.CO.UK

    A driver picked up the owl to give it a dignified send-off but was shocked to later hear rustling.

     

    We'll it was clearly not dead in that case, just looked it. I'm glad it got rescued, and helped.

    • Like 1
  13. 1 hour ago, stripeyfox said:

    I have a family member who is scheduled to travel to Dover tomorrow evening in readiness for a channel crossing on Monday morning. Looks a bit optimistic at the moment!

     

    I agree with you ferries won't be running till winds die down.

  14. 1 hour ago, lassie23 said:

    I'm not sure this whole naming storms thing works, it should be binned. I have had really bad storms with no names and named storms that were tame and bad, it confuses the public and makes them think is this going to be bad or a non-event.

    Need to not just pay attention to the names but also where the actual warnings are. A named storm for Scotland is gonna be crap in London, a named storm the forecast to miss London to the south with the main winds, will be crap in London. 

  15. 11 hours ago, sunnijim said:

    I took a few locations, Newquay, Blackpool, Newcastle and Inverness.

    They either equaled or were below progged highest gusts for Hastings.

    GFS/ met office.

    Semantics now really, the real interest in terms of severity is the ECM solution which shows some really noteworthy impacts around a tighter core toward NW Scotland at 90mph +.

    Impacts over England inland due largely to the prolonged nature of gusts in excess of 60mph.

    Coastal Southern Britain as it stands see gusts toward 70mph, not that noteworthy, these seen three or four times in  a Zonal Winter ( again the prolonged nature of these gusts is more unusual)

    Hitting 80mph as suggested on the SE coast amber, a once every two or three years snenario.

    We'll not this time as it'll be the second 80+ storm this winter for us, should it do this 

    • Like 1
  16. 2 hours ago, Liam Burge said:

    I do suspect the amber warning to be expanded tomorrow morning given this wording for the yellow wind warning. I believe more of the SW will be included in this amber warning. 

    image.thumb.png.51c7b78931befa954c74d268c14ae041.png

    It doesn't look like a red warning is likely, at least in my opinion, however if models do uptrend or show Isha deepening faster than expected, a red warning could potentially be given out.

    Sting jet perhaps, its in it strengthening phase over us. I'd prefer one not happen, haven't checked the fax.

  17. 10 minutes ago, Gowon said:

    No, but it is cold already - might have been boring but it's been really cold.

    There's a leaking stopcock on my way to work which has caused an ice rink on the pavement because it's been so cold.. I'm talking about 5 metres worth of pavement iced up.

    Sounds like dover after the rain two nights ago, once it stopped and the temps dropped, except it wasn't deep apart from puddles.

    • Like 1
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