Cecil Hogmanay Melchett

Really good to see you guys seeing some snowfall,not like we#ve had to wait long this winter

snow plough just gone past lol

Some heavy precip heading into the north west now,looking really good for our cumbrian brothers and lancastrian brothers. Think im to far south here in greater manchester at the moment

Well the beeb forecast is VERY underwhelming,hmm,not sure if the midlands is going to get all the snow later. Time will tell

Yeh,just been for a little walk and one can feel already the sun has a bit more of a punch now in mid Feb,this evening and tonight when the sun goes down is perhaps our one and only chance this feb of falling and lying snow.

Fingers crossed kev,might be a dryer slot for a couple of hours before showers start moving in off the sea later,nice to see manny TAF suggesting snow later.

Yep thats the colder uppers moving in Sparkles.Between now and this time tomorrow is our 'window'.

snow line about 300m here at the mo. Should drop later as the colder air follows this band.

Hard to call really,cant help thinking bit of altitude will help,defo a decent 200m and above will see a covering imo..

yes,colder uppers not arrived yet so maybe its not hugely suprising.you should do okay tomorrow CM

What? Now?

Very cold out there. Im a bit suprised by the manchester TAF considering the warnings by the meto. We'll find out soon enough..

I think later tonight tomorrow morning

So glad we finally have something to chat about This thread may come to lif tomorrow whoop.

Cumbria might well do quite well this week actually.Esp with high ground places will see cover IMO.

Interesting! The metoffice 5 dayer for oldham now shows snow at various times this week

models on the face of it look interesting this week with gfs high res showing snow for our part of the world.The metoffice 5 dayer for higher parts of this area is dreadful as far as snow chances are concerned though with not even a sleet symbol on the hour by hour forecast and thats for moorside which is about 250m above sea level. EDIT I will qualify that post by saying the meto app has it dry here at the moment and its very heavy drizzle so im not sure that this feature is that accurate..

Karl,im not saying its not relevant but there is another thread for indepth analysis of the storm situation. I posted about the 0z runs being Atlantic driven with a small window of opportunity next week for something more wintry in the north,which is what the ecm/ukmo runs show.

Yes karl,underwhelming from a cold perspective. There is a thread for the storms flooding etc i was commenting on the ongoing Atlantic dominated 0z charts.

Yep,must admit to being suprised by teits optmisitc sounding post BA-There looks precious little to be optimistic about for cold lovers from where im sat this morning.

Pretty much agreed-very underwhelming outputs again today.No sign whatsoever of height rises where we need them(Greenland). But,the chances periodically of pm air off the Atlantic might well offer some cheer for northern folk with altitude.

One word sums up this mornings output again and thats unsettled. Im watching next tues/wed as there is potential for a brief spell of colder uppers across parts of the north. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1441.html http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rukm1441.html After that though we see ECM building high pressure across Europe- http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1681.html http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1921.html http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm2161.html Some warm uppers moving into Central Europe courtesy of a intense euro high..

Utterly depressing models Feb is looking like a write off now,2014 the year without a winter....

It was almost inevitable given the profile to the North west im afraid.I think most of us who have been round the block saw the Feb outlook as soon as it became aparent the scandy high was getting shunted east...