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SE Blizzards
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Posts posted by SE Blizzards
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GFS 18z starting to look more like the GEM at Day 7/8 with that pocket of -4 upper air affecting parts of scotland
Also a widespread ground frost for Northern Britain next weekend, and the odd pocket of air frost to boot..
Unbelievable.
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The 0c degree isotherm was frequently over the whole of the UK in June 1972 - it is a summer I remember well due to wedding weather worries. Another year where the Atlantic was very cool round our shores, with a warm el Nino in development in the Pacific.
Charts for month of June.
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/archives/archives.php?mode=2&month=6&day=1&year=1972&map=1&hour=0
Great stuff. Thanks for that Nouska
Day 8 mean..
That chart wouldn't look out of place in mid Autumn to be honest.
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No point in looking until they have actually occurred.
I never said they would occur. This is the MOD thread and i'm just posting what is being shown.
It's just staggering a model is predicting uppers as low as this for the middle of the first month of summer!
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The GEM 12Z has virtually the whole of the UK under sub Zero uppers at Day 7, (June 14th), with the far North of England and Scotland experiencing -4 uppers..?
Quite staggering for the time of year.
Surely that would be some sort of record if that was to verify?
I wonder if anyone can find uppers as low as these in mid June in years gone by?
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Just thought i would post this...
Central Scotland.
Snow risk 5 - 10% in the middle of 'Flaming' June??? Even the 18z Op itself had Wintry showers in Scotland for the same time frame.
I wonder how often that has occurred at the back end of week 2 of Summer?
Answer.... Probably never!?
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Followed by some of this...
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Snowing again here, settling on cars, roofs etc
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Snowing heavily here now. Heaviest shower of the day.
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Heavy Snow here now!
That heavier snow shower around the Clacton-On-sea area could have our name written all over it ?
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Looks like there is quite a beefy shower just east of Ipswich.
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Snowing heavily here now. If this shower takes the same sort of track as the last one then it'll arrive in Southend shortly..
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The sky out to the East has gone pitch black here. Another shower incoming!?
Is the N.Sea finally starting to wake up?
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The radar just went from zero to hero. There wasn't hardly any showers showing up on NetWeathers radar at 14:00 to the NE/E of me, then suddenly quite a few at 14:15 ?
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Temperature here has dropped 4.1c in half hour.
It was 7.2c at 1.30pm.
Now down to 3.1c
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It certainly is!
Shower initiated to the East of Southend looks like it will hit Herne Bay soon, also the Southminster one to my North which looks like missing here to the West, still bone dry here doing our best to dodge the showers, but an incredible amount of convection going on here now!
Edit : Actually we might get the edge of the Southminster one, sky to the North East pitch black now as well
Any sign of that snow shower Paul?
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Errrm WTF?!
It is chucking it down with snow in Sarfend!
I think that's the same shower that just past here around 10 mins ago
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Temp before snow shower 7.2c, Temp after snow shower 4.6c
DP before 1.5c, DP after 0.4c
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Just had a very brief snow shower here
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Thanks
I agree it will certainly be a nowcast situation and because this thread includes East Anglia reports from there may give the wrong idea for those Further South & East
Yeah, well i'm in SE Essex, so i'm actually in EA myself, but i would definitely say that i'm around 50+ miles too far North, as i expect most of the shower activity to be around the Kent area when the winds 'finally' switch round to a more NE'ly/E'ly direction tomorrow... although i would love to be proven wrong of course. The more places that see snow the better.
All eyes on the radar tomorrow.
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Any updates from Fergie regarding the next 24hrs?
I haven't seen any mate. I'm tempted to say no news is good news, but sadly i don't think that is the case this time round. Although having said that if anywhere is likely to see any snow (albeit mostly light stuff) then maybe some western areas of the region tomorrow breakfast time may see some ?, also Kent could be in a favoured spot too tomorrow. It could have nowcast written all over it.
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A straw to clutch at least for mid-month from Fergie over on the MAD thread..
Posted 8 minutes ago
Well, circa 20% chance of significant high cell retrogression towards the end of next week... the downward trend in mean EPS 850hPa temp and GPH shows very well in 12z EC plumes (e.g. For Reading or Exeter), with some markedly colder members in an ever-widening ENS spread by then... so, can't *yet* discount further colder outbreaks of Pm/Am air into next 10-15D on. It's not the favoured f'cast outcome into medium range, but for now can't be discounted either. -
I currently have a DP of 1.2c
..probably one of the highest DP's of the whole entire region. Now where did i put that bottle of wine!?
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It has to be said... tonight's radar seems to have been sponsored by Scrooge. Even where there seems to be PPN falling in NE England people up there are reporting that it is dry!?
BAH HUMBUG!
..probably one of the highest DP's of the whole entire region.
Model Output Discussion - 1st June 2015 12z--------->
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by SE Blizzards
In all the years i've been a weather model watcher i really can't recall a time when i seen predicted night time temperatures to ever be this low the week leading up to the Summer Solstice. According to the GFS 12Z Some areas could be seeing Temperatures 1 to 3 degrees BELOW freezing. Brrrr!!
These are just 3 examples, but to be honest there are many other nights too during the next 7 - 10 days when night time temperatures get significantly low for the time of year.
.....Time to dig out those Winter woollies!
Lol!