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Somerset Squall

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Somerset Squall last won the day on July 26 2009

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About Somerset Squall

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Taunton, Somerset
  • Interests
    music, weather, environmental management, archaeology, tropical cyclones (as you've probably guessed XD)
  • Weather Preferences
    Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns

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  1. As Dec10snow says, it's 4.5C here, what a massive fail!
  2. That's if it actually is snow if it gets down this far. I can confirm the pink precipitation over my area currently is not snow, but rain.
  3. Yup, it's raining. It wasn't cold enough for snow in the rain band, then it probably became cold enough for snow when it cleared, and now the temperatures have risen again and it's started raining. You couldn't make it up lol
  4. It's still 2.9C here, so if the showers stop moving either side of me, they will probably only be rain anyway.
  5. It's still 2.6C here with clear skies and light winds. Impressive cold this haha
  6. It's always the way! It's never cold enough when there is precipitation about. Except on the very rare occasion it is. The last time that happened here was December 2010.
  7. This kind of set up is a nightmare to predict, and quite often fails to deliver if you're not on high ground. I certainly wouldn't pin anything on the BBC weather app!
  8. The most interesting part of the weather today was the wind briefly turned a bit gusty. Too far west it seems, not that I was holding out much hope anyway to be fair. No way am I waiting up tonight waiting for a few possible showers to arrive lol. Quite frequently I am too far west, or two far south. Looking at the latest runs of the models, I might be too far north next week (I know it's just one run and things will likely change, but you've got to laugh!)
  9. Still just rain here, and getting lighter. 3.4C and dropping sloooowly.
  10. Wind picking up from the northwest now, temperature dropping more quickly, I do feel most of the precipitation will have cleared southeastwards before conditions are cold enough here, hoping for some wintery showers later maybe? Temp 4.8C and dropping here, and raining moderately.
  11. Very Intense Tropical Cyclone Fantala

    Fantala became a convectionless remnant low within 24hrs of my last posting over cool waters and in dry air. Fantala's remnants have now moved out of the upwelled waters, and convection is firing once more, fuelled by the warmer water. However, shear is pretty strong, keeping the convection disorganized, so reformation into a tropical cyclone is not expected as the remnants continue to head westwards towards Tanzania.
  12. Severe Tropical Cyclone Amos

    Amos died a death shortly after clearing Samoa, as strong shear tore it apart, which was not expected to happen. Regeneration is not expected.
  13. Severe Tropical Cyclone Amos

    Indeed Chris. Amos has accelerated eastwards at a faster pace than forecast, meaning it probably will not turn south in time to prevent a severe impact. Winds are up to 90kts according to JTWC, with no further strengthening forecast. A storm of this strength is more than capable of causing damage and flooding however.
  14. Very Intense Tropical Cyclone Fantala

    The track has shifted north again, which means that Fantala is tracking directly over waters it has has already travelled over twice. This, along with increasing shear, has negatively impacted Fantala, and the storm is looking very dishevelled, with winds down to 60kts now. Continued tracking over cool, upwelled waters will cause further weakening, and shear will increase further as Fantala approaches Tanzania. There probably won't be much left of Fantala if a landfall occurs.
  15. Very Intense Tropical Cyclone Fantala

    Fantala has turned back to the northwest, almost back over it's previous track again. Winds have increased slightly to 100kts. JTWC expect the track to remain just south of Fantala's previous track, which should allow the waters to be warm enough for some further re-intensification before Fantala runs into higher shear north of Madagascar. This will cause some weakening as the cyclone moves quite briskly west towards Tanzania. Landfall in this country is not all that common as most storms impact the coast further south in Mozambique for example. It will be interesting to see whether a) Fantala makes landfall in Tanzania, and b) just how strong it will be.
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