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Posts
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Profile Information
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Gender
Male
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Location
Ripon , North Yorkshire 41m/135ft ASL
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Interests
i love the weather and what it throws at our tiny little island...come heatwaves or blizzards..we always talk about the weather in the uk ...so why not learn about why it is so diverse compared to the rest of the world.
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Weather Preferences
heat and cold, storms and blizzards...zonal a no no
Recent Profile Visitors
bryan629's Achievements
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Model Output Discussion - 22nd Jan 2024 onwards
bryan629 replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well this is all very interesting, looks like a massive hit on the PV to me Definately easterly winds here Signs of a split going on lower down as well ... GFS control 12z showed that up nicely!! -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
bryan629 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
bryan629 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Cracking pub run... since modelling watching from 2011 i dont think i have ever seen a black hole as significsnt as this before -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
bryan629 replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Control is Epic.. High speed cross polar flow inbound !! -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
bryan629 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Gem/CMC Control , wow!!! widespread snow for everyone if this verifies . Shame its not in the reliable at 192 hahaha -
Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
bryan629 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Into Winter
bryan629 replied to MATTWOLVES 3's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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- 633 replies
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Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
bryan629 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
So just for fun i decided to peer deeply into the muddy waters of the netweather crystal ball , which also has a good smattering of tea leaves for good measure! Something caught my eye this morning from the GFS way out in neverland to something i saw on X yesterday, so i put A+B together and arrived more than likely at Z , First off is the MJO prediction for late october and early november: HP dominated wesern europe which seems to drift northeast over to Scandi. Then as mentioned the GFS late OCT Early NOV So nothing particularly striking about these charts, unless you like a south easterly. I just found it uncanny that yesterdays MJO prediction looks a lot like the GFS 00z Absolutely not wheeling out the `P` word at all.. and all just for fun, so nobody needs to wake Nick Sussex just yet. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
bryan629 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What does Judah mean by "Interesting but on an Island" . Do you think he means the ECM is a bit out of kilter. -
Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
bryan629 replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
With some references today talking of " Water Vapour " in the strat. Im assuming this Vapour would actually be ice crystals being so high up. Do the weather ballons measure the ice crystals. I was also wondering about the Antarctic polar vortex and if was stronger and faster spinning than normal or slower and weaker? might give us an idea if and how all the WV may impact on our SPV this year. Loving the cansips update BTW ,but how come they are smoothed out to the point there is no sign anywhere of the trop PV on them? -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
bryan629 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
bryan629 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A plume of elevated Saharan Dust currently seen in satellite imagery heading for the SW UK and Ireland this evening, and then continues further N for Tuesday evening. Potential for some spectacular sunrises / sunsets this week. -
Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
bryan629 replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes.. looks like the 6z following GEFS 0z control... obviously a long way off and nothing guaranteed. Seems to follow the coastline. Great for surfers at Lazarous i expect, or insane!! Maybe Tamaras watching and breathing a sigh of relief