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Ben Sainsbury

Pro Forecaster / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Ben Sainsbury

  1. After this spell of snowfall this afternoon, looks like there could be a few heavy snow showers later tonight and possibly a few light ones tomorrow morning.
  2. Moderate snow and moderate sized flakes! Not even in the main bulk of green! EDIT: Heaviest snow we've had so far, why couldn't we have this all yesterday!
  3. Why in the last two days have all the heaviest snowfall formed near and moved over Cardiff...
  4. Can add some light snow, can confirm 1 or 2 bigger flakes mixed in just need an increase in intensity now!
  5. Lucky bugger, I'm on the far NE point of the intense echoes and still snizzle...
  6. True I'm unsure whether tomorrow's event is likely to be as significant as today's but what I can be sure is that any snow that does fall is likely to be of the wetter variety.
  7. Freezing rain, isn't rain that is frozen in mid air, it's rain which freezes instantly when it hits the ground.
  8. Aha, I don't think the 850hpa temperatures are quite sufficient for freezing rain for our locations yet.
  9. Cawh I really do seem to forget how deep snowfall really is lol, just went out to measure and was around 8cm which is still a respectable amount given further snow tonight and tomorrow.
  10. Surprisingly more cars going in/out of Keynsham at the moment compared to earlier, NMM suggests strongest wind gusts to come at 9-10pm. May come hand in hand with the strong precipitation in the channel atm. Massive gust just came through, visibility extremely low for a brief moment.
  11. Slightly larger flakes other than snizzle beginning to appear here, about time after having light snow for a good hour.
  12. Don't be so sure, that big area of orange/red in the channel has your name on it!
  13. Our Amber warning is in connection with the highest possible impact, but 2nd highest likeliness surely the Met Office can be confident of another 4-6 hours minimum of heavy snow, the public need further warning.
  14. Correct although according to NMM, the positive uppers never really make it that much north than the south coast and so expect majority of precipitation to be snow besides maybe a little freezing rain on south coast.
  15. Just measured my snow depths in Keynsham, general consensus seems that (although difficult to measure through snow drifts) that my depths range from between 4 and 9cm.
  16. Agreed I mean well we're in the same location so it should, but visibility greatly reduced and still many many more hours of snow, would surprise me if the Met Office DIDN'T extend the area of the red warning.
  17. Not that looking at the GFS matters now, but on the 12z much of the red and amber warning areas are under continuous snow till Saturday at 3am!
  18. Lets hope the heaviest of the snow arrives at the same time as the strongest winds/gusts. These look to arrive around 8-9pm with gusts in excess of 50mph.
  19. How are the flake size further south, because currently in Bristol it's still the same dandruff rubbish!
  20. To put it under context as well for snow amounts per hour under the dark orange/red, the rain to snow ratio is approximately 1:15 therefore 12mm/hr of rain for example is equivalent to 300mm/hr of snow = 30cm/hr of snow. Even the light greens of 3mm/hr = 45mm/hr of snow = 4.5cm/hr of snow so to only be witnessing the areas of green intensity can still dump 15-20cm in just 4 hours.
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