John Badrick

I know the exact feeling, its like you cant be bothered with the festivities anymore and you want normality to resume

bloody good post sir, a fantastic round up of whats happened in the last couple of weeks

Yes looking good this morning festival, it's gonna freeze solid tonight though, was gonna take a trip up tomorrow with the kids but it's gonna be lethal

Bude got a proper pasting last night, don't know how the hell i'm gonna get to work today

MetO on board

T24

I was thinking the same thing Karyo. He speaks a lot of sense and certainly knows his stuff. He has been quite accurate with his predictions the last couple of years and I for one will be reading and taking interest in what he has to say. The last two winters I haven't liked his predictions because they have been broadly of mild and stormy weather which we have experienced and sadly it is generally how he thinks the next couple of winters will turn out. But from 2020 (only 4 years time) he thinks the switch will come. I think we Brits need to sit tight and be patient. I do believe, soon we will be experiencing much different winters in this country. I hope he doesn't mind but I wanted to quote something from Ian's email I had recently. "As a result could well set the scene for deviations in the opposite direction towards extremely severe winters in Britain (i.e. a CET of -5C). " Be carful what you wish for comes to mind JB

Too late told the wife and she's gone and told the neighbours, who stupidly told the kids. Now the sledges are ready, waiting at the back door

I know, what's wrong with frosty? He'd usually be all over this

You know things are looking up and going in our favor (coldies) when knocker mentions the s word

But I would prefer a more wintry and festive take on things Of tallest hollies, tall and green; A fairer bower was never seen. From year to year the spacious floor With withered leaves is covered o'er, And all the year the bower is green. But see! where'er the hailstones drop The withered leaves all skip and hop

Not- I Wandered Lonely As A Cloud because I think that has no relation to the weather we will experience for a while yet. A whirl-Blast from behind the Hill is more apt for the weather we are currently experiencing and will experience for the next few weeks

I quite like this new feature, not so much when I realise it's a reply from knocker though, sorry Knocks merry Christmas

"The good news is that the current CET of +5.1c above average will remain very close to this" Genuine question; can I ask why is this good news???

Interesting they have Scotland and south east with above + anomaly with rest of Uk negative

Latest temp anomaly thoughts for Dec-Feb from Cohen

3.8

Hahaha, hilarious! We have another one who has access to a time machine who can see beyond 5 days. You are worried about the middle of January!! You're not seriously thinking that models can tell you the weather for most of winter 2015/16 with accuracy. If you believe that then it's just as bad as believing madden and his outlandish claims, just the opposite!!

yes it is Bold and a knee jerk reaction to one run (sorry mods)

Its hilarious and a bit embarrassing how one comment can make people really believe that a whole months weather can be set in stone. No one can predict the weather a month in advance, don't care how professional they are and how many super duper, upgraded computers they have at their disposal . They haven't got some kind of crystal ball that tells the future. If they did they would be very rich indeed. How many times have people said only take models seriously 5-10 days in advance at a push, which takes us to the beginning of December -WINTER!!! Come back in a couple of days around, let's say Dec 2nd when winter starts to see if there is anything wintry in store

Will just leave this here!

El Niño just one piece of the puzzle, lots of other differing teleconnections that make this year unique

Similar solar output

When was the last time (if anyone can recall) we had a good dumping of snow to lower levels down south i.e Cornwall and Devon from a PM source